中国安全科学学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (6): 90-96.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2019.06.015

• 安全工程技术科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于改进物元可拓法的东北林区贮木场火险评估

耿志伟1, 薛伟**1 教授, 王海滨1 副教授, 张华超1,2, 郭德禹2   

  1. 1 东北林业大学 工程技术学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150040;
    2 长白山森工集团 白河林业局,吉林 延边朝鲜族自治州133000
  • 收稿日期:2019-02-23 修回日期:2019-04-28 发布日期:2020-11-02
  • 通讯作者: **薛伟(1962—),男,黑龙江绥化人,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事林业装备工程、林业工程管理与林业信息工程等方面的研究。E-mail:nefuxw1962@163.com。
  • 作者简介:耿志伟(1990—),女,河北沧州人,博士研究生,研究方向为林业管理与林业信息工程。E-mail:1037609090@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2572017AB19),国家自然科学基金资助(31500587)。

Fire risk assessment of northeast forest lumberyards based on improved matter-element extension method

GENG Zhiwei1, XUE Wei1, WANG Haibin1, ZHANG Huachao1,2, GUO Deyu2   

  1. 1 College of Engineering and Technology, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin Heilongjiang 150040, China;
    2 Baihe Forestry Bureau, Changbai Mountain Forest Industry Group, Yanbian Jilin133000, China
  • Received:2019-02-23 Revised:2019-04-28 Published:2020-11-02

摘要: 为提升贮木场火灾防范能力,降低火灾发生率,运用改进物元可拓法评估东北林区贮木场火险。从人、机、物、环、管等角度,构建包含5 个一级指标,16 个二级指标的东北林区贮木场火险评估指标体系;进而基于贮木场火险指标的层次结构,考虑火险因子量化的模糊性,建立东北贮木场火灾危险等级评定物元模型,实现对东北林区贮木场火灾危险等级的评定。实例分析结果表明:改进的物元可拓法适用于东北贮木场火灾危险等级评定,并可进一步结合雷达图直观表述单火险指标的危险性,使贮木场的防火管理可视化,为贮木场安全生产和科学化管理提供理论依据。

关键词: 东北林区, 物元可拓法, 贮木场, 指标体系, 火险等级评估

Abstract: To promote lumberyards' fire prevention ability and reduce fire incidence, the improved matter-element extension method is used to evaluate the fire risk in northeast forest lumberyards. Firstly, a fire risk evaluation index system of northeast forest lumberyards was established from personnel, equipment, combustible, environment and management perspectives, which contains five primary indicators and sixteen secondary indexes. Then a matter-element extension model of fire risk assessment of northeast forest lumberyards was set up on the basis of the hierarchical structure of lumberyard fire risk index with quantitative fuzziness taken into consideration so as to complete the fire risk evaluation. The example analysis results show that the improved matter-element extension method can be applied to the fire risk rating of northeast forest lumberyards, and the danger of single fire risk index can be directly expressed with improved radar chart, thus promoting the visualization of fire prevention management and providing theoretical basis for safe production and scientific management of lumberyards.

Key words: northeast forest area, matter-element extension method, lumberyard, index system, fire risk assessment

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