中国安全科学学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (6): 14-28.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn 1003-3033.2021.06.003
毕玮, 汤育春, 冒婷婷, 孙新红, 李启明** 教授
收稿日期:
2021-03-05
修回日期:
2021-05-06
出版日期:
2021-06-28
作者简介:
毕玮 (1995—),女,山东青岛人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为基础设施韧性管理、PPP物有所值评价等。E-mail: biwei.226@163.com。
基金资助:
BI Wei, TANG Yuchun, MAO Tingting, SUN Xinhong, LI Qiming
Received:
2021-03-05
Revised:
2021-05-06
Published:
2021-06-28
摘要: 为从韧性视角探索基础设施系统对城市防灾减灾的作用,综述城市基础设施系统韧性管理相关研究。基于Web of Science核心合集,筛选出576篇相关文献,从期刊来源、发表年份、国家、基础设施类型和扰动事件类型等方面,全方位分析城市基础设施系统韧性管理的研究现状,界定城市基础设施系统韧性及其与可靠性、脆弱性、可持续性等概念之间的联系与区别,归纳基础设施系统韧性管理中的关键问题。研究结果表明:在过去10年,城市基础设施系统韧性管理的研究受到越来越多学者的关注,其中交通基础设施和自然扰动为主要研究对象;基础设施系统韧性管理研究已在韧性识别、度量、提升和仿真4个方面取得一定成果,但仍需加强理论支撑,探索度量方法,关注耦合扰动和基础设施系统内部关联性。
中图分类号:
毕玮, 汤育春, 冒婷婷, 孙新红, 李启明. 城市基础设施系统韧性管理综述[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2021, 31(6): 14-28.
BI Wei, TANG Yuchun, MAO Tingting, SUN Xinhong, LI Qiming. Review on resilience management of urban infrastructure system[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2021, 31(6): 14-28.
[1] PASCALINE W, ROWENA H. Economic losses, poverty and disasters: 1998-2017[R]. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR) and Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), 2018. [2] FRANCO E G. The global risks report 2020[R]. World Economic Forum, 2020. [3] 方东平, 李在上, 李楠, 等. 城市韧性:基于“三度空间下系统的系统”的思考[J]. 土木工程学报, 2017, 50 (7): 1-7. FANG Dongping,LI Zaishang,LI Nan,et al.Urban resilience:a perspective of systems in trio spaces[J]. China Civil Engineering Journal, 2017, 50 (7): 1-7. [4] ELLIOTT J. Safety I and safety II: the past and future of safety management[J]. Ergonomics, 2015,59(6): 859-860. [5] 徐江, 邵亦文. 韧性城市:应对城市危机的新思路[J]. 国际城市规划, 2015, 30 (2): 1-3. XU Jiang,SHAO Yiwen.Resilient cities: a new shift to urban crisis management[J].Urban Planning International, 2015, 30 (2): 1-3. [6] 吴浩田, 翟国方. 韧性城市规划理论与方法及其在我国的应用:以合肥市市政设施韧性提升规划为例[J]. 上海城市规划, 2016(1): 19-25. WU Haotian,ZHAI Guofang.Resilient city planning theory and method and its practice in china: a case study of the improvement planning of Hefei infrastructure's resilience[J].Shanghai Urban Planning Review, 2016(1): 19-25. [7] STEPHANE H, JUN R, JULIE R. Lifelines: the resilient infrastructure opportunity[M]. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2019: 21-23. [8] BUTRY D, CAUFFMAN S, GILBERT S, et al. Community resilience planning guide for buildings and infrastructure systems[R]. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), 2016. [9] HEINO O, TAKALA A, JUKARAINEN P, et al. Critical infrastructures: the operational environment in cases of severe disruption[J]. Sustainability, 2019, 11 (3): DOI:org/10.3390/su11030838. [10] RIBEIRO I C, ALBUQUERQUE C, ANTÔNIO A D A, et al. THOR: a framework to build an advanced metering infrastructure resilient to DAP failures in smart grids[J]. Future Generation Computer Systems, 2019, 99: 11-26. [11] GB∕T28921—2012,自然灾害分类与代码[S]. GB∕T28921-2012,Classification and codes for natural disasters[S]. [12] HOLLING C S. Resilience and stability of ecological systems[J]. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 1973, 4(1): 1-23. [13] BRUNEAU M, CHANG S E, EGUCHI R T, et al. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities[J]. Earthquake Spectra, 2003, 19 (4): 733-752. [14] SCHULTZ M T, SMITH E R. Assessing the resilience of coastal systems: a probabilistic approach[J]. Journal of Coastal Research, 2016, 32 (5): 1 032-1 050. [15] VUGRIN E D, WARREN D E, EHLEN M A, et al. A framework for assessing the resilience of infrastructure and economic systems[M]. Berlin:Springer, 2010: 77-116. [16] XUE Xiaolong, WANG Liang, YANG Rebeccd J. Exploring the science of resilience: critical review and bibliometric analysis[J]. Natural Hazards, 2018, 90 (8): 477-510. [17] MATTSSON L G, JENELIUS E. Vulnerability and resilience of transport systems:a discussion of recent research[J]. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2015, 81: 16-34. [18] CASAL-CAMPOS A, SADR S M, FU Guangtao, et al. Reliable, resilient and sustainable urban drainage systems: an analysis of robustness under deep uncertainty[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2018, 52 (16): 9 008-9 021. [19] SWEETAPPLE C, ASTARAIE-IMANI M, BUTLER D. Design and operation of urban wastewater systems considering reliability, risk and resilience[J]. Water Research, 2018, 147: 1-12. [20] MOY W S, COHON J L, REVELLE C S. A programming model for analysis of the reliability, resilience, and vulnerability of a water supply reservoir[J]. Water Resources Research, 1986, 22 (4): 489-498. [21] FOWLER H, KILSBY C, O'CONNELL P. Modeling the impacts of climatic change and variability on the reliability, resilience, and vulnerability of a water resource system[J]. Water Resources Research, 2003, 39 (8):DOI:10.1029/2002WR001778. [22] KJELLSTROM T, WEAVER H J. Climate change and health: impacts, vulnerability, adaptation and mitigation[J]. New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 2009, 20 (1/2): 5-9. [23] 李亚, 翟国方, 顾福妹. 城市基础设施韧性的定量评估方法研究综述[J]. 城市发展研究, 2016, 23 (6): 113-122. LI Ya,ZHAI Guofang,GU Fumei. Review on quantitative evaluation methods of urban infrastructure resilience[J].Urban Development Studies, 2016, 23 (6): 113-122. [24] FRANCIS R, BEKERA B. A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2014, 121: 90-103. [25] FOLKE C. Resilience: the emergence of a perspective for social-ecological systems analyses[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2006, 16 (3): 253-267. [26] WCED S W S. World commission on environment and development[J]. Our Common Future, 1987, 17: 1-91. [27] AGUIÑAGA E, HENRIQUES I, SCHEEL C, et al. Building resilience: a self-sustainable community approach to the triple bottom line[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 173: 186-196. [28] LOUNIS Z, MCALLISTER T P. Risk-based decision making for sustainable and resilient infrastructure systems[J]. Journal of Structural Engineering, 2016, 142 (9):DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0001545. [29] RINALDI S M, PEERENBOOM J P, KELLY T K. Identifying, understanding, and analyzing critical infrastructure interdependencies[J]. IEEE Control Systems Magazine, 2001, 21 (6): 11-25. [30] OUYANG Min, WANG Zhenghua. Resilience assessment of interdependent infrastructure systems: with a focus on joint restoration modeling and analysis[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2015, 141: 74-82. [31] PANTELI M, TRAKAS D N, MANCARELLA P, et al. Power systems resilience assessment: hardening and smart operational enhancement strategies[J]. Proceedings of the IEEE, 2017, 105 (7): 1 202-1 213. [32] PAGANO A, PLUCHINOTTA I, GIORDANO R, et al. Drinking water supply in resilient cities: notes from L'Aquila earthquake case study[J]. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2017, 28: 435-449. [33] PAGANI G A, AIELLO M. A complex network approach for identifying vulnerabilities of the medium and low voltage grid[J]. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2015, 11 (1): 36-61. [34] THERRIEN M C, BEAUREGARD S, VALIQUETTE-L'HEUREUX A. Iterative factors favoring collaboration for interorganizational resilience: the case of the greater montréal transportation infrastructure[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2015, 6 (1): 75-86. [35] LIU Zijian, SUZUKI T. Using agent simulations to evaluate the effect of a regional BCP on disaster response[J]. Journal of Disaster Research, 2018, 13 (2): 387-395. [36] JONKEREN O, AZZINI I, GALBUSERA L, et al. Analysis of critical infrastructure network failure in the European Union: a combined systems engineering and economic model[J]. Networks and Spatial Economics, 2015, 15 (2): 253-270. [37] SUSSMANN Jr T R, STARK T D, WILK S T, et al. Track support measurements for improved resiliency of railway infrastructure[J]. Transportation Research Record, 2017, 2607 (1): 54-61. [38] FAN Jingfang, DONG Gaogao, SHEKHTMAN L M, et al. Structural resilience of spatial networks with inter-links behaving as an external field[J]. New Journal of Physics, 2018, 20 (9):DOI:10.1088/1367-2630/aadceb. [39] TARIVERDI M, FOTOUHI H, MORYADEE S, et al. Health care system disaster-resilience optimization given its reliance on interdependent critical lifelines[J]. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 2019, 25 (1):DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000465. [40] GREENE S R. Enhancing electric grid, critical infrastructure, and societal resilience with resilient nuclear power plants (rNPPs)[J]. Nuclear Technology, 2019, 205 (3): 397-414. [41] BRUNEAU M, REINHORN A. Exploring the concept of seismic resilience for acute care facilities[J]. Earthquake Spectra, 2007, 23 (1): 41-62. [42] YODO N, WANG Pingfeng, ZHOU Zhi. Predictive resilience analysis of complex systems using dynamic Bayesian networks[J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 2017, 66 (3): 761-770. [43] FANG Yiping, ZIO E. An adaptive robust framework for the optimization of the resilience of interdependent infrastructures under natural hazards[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 2019, 276 (3): 1 119-1 136. [44] BAROUD H, BARKER K, RAMIREZ-MARQUEZ J E, et al. Inherent costs and interdependent impacts of infrastructure network resilience[J]. Risk Analysis, 2015, 35 (4): 642-662. [45] HOSSAIN N U I, NUR F, HOSSEINI S, et al. A Bayesian network based approach for modeling and assessing resilience: a case study of a full service deep water port[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2019, 189: 378-396. [46] HOSSAIN N U I, JARADAT R, HOSSEINI S, et al. A framework for modeling and assessing system resilience using a Bayesian network: a case study of an interdependent electrical infrastructure system[J]. International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, 2019, 25: 62-83. [47] YOUN B D, HU Chao, WANG Pingfeng. Resilience-driven system design of complex engineered systems[J]. Journal of Mechanical Design, 2011, 133 (10):DOI:10.1115/1.4004981. [48] SARWAR A, KHAN F, ABIMBOLA M, et al. Resilience analysis of a remote offshore oil and gas facility for a potential hydrocarbon release[J]. Risk Analysis, 2018, 38 (8): 1 601-1 617. [49] ASSAD A, MOSELHI O, ZAYED T. A new metric for assessing resilience of water distribution networks[J]. Water, 2019, 11 (8): DOI:10.3390/w11081701. [50] FILIPPINI R, SILVA A. A modeling framework for the resilience analysis of networked systems-of-systems based on functional dependencies[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2014, 125: 82-91. [51] PUMPUNI-LENSS G, BLACKBURN T, GARSTENAUER A. Resilience in complex systems: an agent-based approach[J]. Systems Engineering, 2017, 20 (2): 158-172. [52] WANG Junwei, WANG Hongfeng, ZHOU Yaoming, et al. On an integrated approach to resilient transportation systems in emergency situations[J]. Natural Computing, 2019, 18 (4): 815-823. [53] GANIN A A, MERSKY A C, JIN A S, et al. Resilience in intelligent transportation systems (ITS)[J]. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 2019, 100: 318-329. [54] ABBASI S, BARATI M, LIM G J. A parallel sectionalized restoration scheme for resilient smart grid systems[J]. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2017, 10 (2): 1 660-1 670. [55] WEN Meilin, CHEN Yubing, YANG Yi, et al. Resilience-based component importance measures[J]. International Journal of Robust and Nonlinear Control, 2020, 30(11): 4 244-4 254. [56] HOLLNAGEL E. FRAM, the functional resonance analysis method: modelling complex socio-technical systems[M].Danmark: Ashgate Publishing, Ltd., 2012: 33-94. [57] LUNDBERG J, JOHANSSON B J. Systemic resilience model[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 22-32. [58] MOSTAFIZI A, WANG Haizhong, COX D, et al. Agent-based tsunami evacuation modeling of unplanned network disruptions for evidence-driven resource allocation and retrofitting strategies[J]. Natural Hazards, 2017, 88 (3): 1 347-1 372. [59] WANG Zengfu, WANG Qing, ZUKERMAN M, et al. Multiobjective path optimization for critical infrastructure links with consideration to seismic resilience[J]. Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 2017, 32 (10): 836-855. [60] LIAO Tsaiyun, HU Tayin, KO Yino. A resilience optimization model for transportation networks under disasters[J]. Natural Hazards, 2018, 93 (1): 469-489. [61] 梁馥梓艺. 韧性视角下的资源枯竭型城市基础设施更新策略研究:以湖北黄石市为例[D]. 武汉:华中农业大学, 2017. LINGFU Ziyi.Reseach on the planning strategy of urban infrastructure update of resource-exhausted cities in light of resilient cities:a case study of Huangshi city,Hubei province[D].Wuhan:Huazhong Agricultural University,2017. [62] TESTA A C, FURTADO M N, ALIPOUR A. Resilience of coastal transportation networks faced with extreme climatic events[J]. Transportation Research Record, 2015, 2532 (1): 29-36. [63] CHIOU S W. A traffic-responsive signal control to enhance road network resilience with hazmat transportation in multiple periods[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2018, 175: 105-118. [64] MARSHALL B M, BOLON K M, KELLY J C, et al. Physical and behavioural determinants of resilience in the transportation system: a case study of vehicle electrification and trip prioritisation[J]. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2016, 12 (1/2): 104-119. [65] OUYANG Min. A mathematical framework to optimize resilience of interdependent critical infrastructure systems under spatially localized attacks[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 2017, 262 (3): 1 072-1 084. [66] WANG Yiou, LIU Hongcheng, HAN Ke, et al. Day-to-day congestion pricing and network resilience[J]. Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 2015, 11 (9): 873-895. [67] RASOULKHANI K, MOSTAFAVI A. Resilience as an emergent property of human-infrastructure dynamics: a multi-agent simulation model for characterizing regime shifts and tipping point behaviors in infrastructure systems[J]. PLoS One, 2018, 13 (11): DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0207674. [68] SUN Li, STOJADINOVIC B, SANSAVINI G. Agent-based recovery model for seismic resilience evaluation of electrified communities[J]. Risk Analysis, 2019, 39 (7): 1 597-1 614. [69] ZHANG Chao, KONG Jingjing, SIMONOVIC S P. Restoration resource allocation model for enhancing resilience of interdependent infrastructure systems[J]. Safety Science, 2018, 102: 169-177. [70] ALMOGHATHAWI Y, BARKER K, ALBERT L A. Resilience-driven restoration model for interdependent infrastructure networks[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2019, 185: 12-23. [71] ETINKAYA E K, BROYLES D, DANDEKAR A, et al. Modelling communication network challenges for future internet resilience, survivability, and disruption tolerance: a simulation-based approach[J]. Telecommunication Systems, 2013, 52 (2): 751-766. [72] KIM D H, EISENBERG D A, CHUN Y H, et al. Network topology and resilience analysis of South Korean power grid[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2017, 465: 13-24. [73] ZOU Qiling, CHEN Suren. Enhancing resilience of interdependent traffic-electric power system[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2019, 191:DOI:10.1016/j.ress.2019.106557. [74] DUNN S, FU Gaihua, WILKINSON S, et al. Network theory for infrastructure systems modelling[C]. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Engineering Sustainability, 2013: 281-292. [75] FARAHMANDFAR Z, PIRATLA K R. Comparative evaluation of topological and flow-based seismic resilience metrics for rehabilitation of water pipeline systems[J]. Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice, 2018, 9 (1):DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)PS.1949-1204.0000293. [76] CIMELLARO G, TINEBRA A, RENSCHLER C, et al. New resilience index for urban water distribution networks[J]. Journal of Structural Engineering, 2016, 142 (8):DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0001433. [77] HE Xiang, YUAN Yongbo. A framework of identifying critical water distribution pipelines from recovery resilience[J]. Water Resources Management, 2019, 33 (11): 3 691-3 706. [78] MAHMOUD B, ABDULRAHMAN A, PIRATLA K R. Comparative evaluation of resilience metrics for water distribution systems using a pressure driven demand-based reliability approach[J]. Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology-Aqua, 2018, 67 (6): 517-530. [79] PANDIT A, CRITTENDEN J C. Index of network resilience for urban water distribution systems[J]. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2016, 12 (1/2): 120-142. [80] ARCHETTI F, CANDELIERI A, SOLDI D. Network analysis for resilience evaluation in water distribution networks[J]. Environmental Engineering and Management Journal, 2015, 14 (6): 1 261-1 270. [81] THACKER S, HALL J W, PANT R. Preserving key topological and structural features in the synthesis of multilevel electricity networks for modeling of resilience and risk[J]. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 2018, 24 (1):DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000404. [82] YANG Yifan, NG S Thomas, ZHOU Shenghua, et al. A physics-based framework for analyzing the resilience of interdependent civil infrastructure systems: a climatic extreme event case in Hong Kong[J]. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2019, 47: DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2019.101485. [83] ALMOGHATHAWI Y, BARKER K. Component importance measures for interdependent infrastructure network resilience[J]. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2019, 133: 153-164. [84] KONG Jingjing, SIMONOVIC S P. Probabilistic multiple hazard resilience model of an interdependent infrastructure system[J]. Risk Analysis, 2019, 39 (8): 1 843-1 863. [85] GUIDOTTI R, CHMIELEWSKI H, UNNIKRISHNAN V, et al. Modeling the resilience of critical infrastructure: the role of network dependencies[J]. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 2016, 1 (3/4): 153-168. [86] CAI Baoping, XIE Min, LIU Yonghong, et al. Availability-based engineering resilience metric and its corresponding evaluation methodology[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2018, 172: 216-224. [87] JOHANSEN C, TIEN I. Probabilistic multi-scale modeling of interdependencies between critical infrastructure systems for resilience[J]. Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, 2018, 3 (1): 1-15. |
[1] | 申玲, 唐令怡, 廖洁. 基于CN-FRAM的公共交通设备设施系统运营安全韧性度量[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2024, 34(3): 45-54. |
阅读次数 | ||||||
全文 |
|
|||||
摘要 |
|
|||||