交通事故类型和违法类型对应分析

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.11.014

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (11): 79-84.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.11.014

交通事故类型和违法类型对应分析

刘林¹, 傅惠^**1 副教授, 吕伟韬², 胡刚¹ 教授, 王晨³ 副教授, 张喆⁴

1 广东工业大学机电工程学院,广东广州 510006
2 江苏智通交通科技有限公司,江苏南京 211111
3 东南大学智能运输系统研究中心,江苏南京 210096
4 昆山市公安局交通警察大队城北中队,江苏苏州 215000

收稿日期:2017-07-20 修回日期:2017-09-17 发布日期:2020-10-21
通讯作者: ** 傅惠(1981—),男,湖北荆台人,博士,副教授,主要从事物流与运输系统建模及优化方面的研究。E-mail:gdutfuhui@hotmail.com。
作者简介:刘林 (1992—),男,江苏扬州人,硕士研究生,研究方向为道路交通安全、交通控制与智能交通系统。E-mail:775755147@qq.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(61573110);广州市科技计划项目(201504291250033)。

Analysis of correspondence between type of traffic accidents and types of violations

LIU Lin¹, FU Hui¹, LYU Weitao², HU Gang¹, WANG Chen³, ZHANG Zhe⁴

1 School of Electro-Mechanical Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou Guangdong 510006, China
2 Jiangsu Intelligent Transportation Company Limited, Nanjing Jiangsu 211111, China
3 Intelligent Transportation System ITS Research Center at Southeast University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210096, China
4 Public Security Bureau Traffic Police of Kunshan North Squadron, Suzhou Jiangsu 215000, China

Received:2017-07-20 Revised:2017-09-17 Published:2020-10-21

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 交通违法是导致交通事故的重要因素,从驾驶者发生交通事故类型及其历史交通违法类型的角度研究危险驾驶行为。利用归一化和阈值法,选取合适的交通违法类型;通过χ²检验交通违法和交通事故两者关联性;再采用对应分析的方法,研究不同交通事故类型对应的主次要相关违法类型,并建立影响程度模型;同时,基于两者的交互影响,对部分交通事故类型和违法类型分类、合并。结果表明:交通事故类型和交通违法类型间有显著的相关性和对应关系,基于这种特性可预防交通事故,预判事故类型。

关键词: 道路安全, 交通事故类型, 历史交通违法类型, 对应分析, 交通安全行为风险

Abstract: Illegal driving usually results in traffic accidents. This paper was aimed at exploring the internal relation between illegal driving and traffic accident by analyzing the drivers' historical behavior. 13 types of illegal driving with relatively high frequencies and abnormal expected values were identified from 184 types of illegal driving by using normalization and threshold method. The correlations between illegal driving and traffic accidents were demonstrated by chi-square test. An influence degree model was built for correspondence between types of traffic accidents and types of illegal driving by the corresponding analysis method. The results show that there is a significant correlation between types of traffic accidents and types of illegal driving, and that for a given driver, a probable traffic accident type can be predicted from his or her driving experience.

Key words: road safety, type of traffic accident, illegal driving, correspondence analysis, risk behavior of traffic safety

中图分类号:

X928.01

刘林, 傅惠副教授, 吕伟韬, 胡刚教授, 王晨副教授, 张喆. 交通事故类型和违法类型对应分析[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2017, 27(11): 79-84.

LIU Lin, FU Hui, LYU Weitao, HU Gang, WANG Chen, ZHANG Zhe. Analysis of correspondence between type of traffic accidents and types of violations[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2017, 27(11): 79-84.

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交通事故类型和违法类型对应分析

Analysis of correspondence between type of traffic accidents and types of violations

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