中国安全科学学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (8): 47-52.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2021.08.007

• 安全工程技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

配对进近侧向位置误差QAR参数关联性分析*

张兆宁 教授, 陈子辰, 卢飞** 副教授   

  1. 中国民航大学 空中交通管理学院,天津 300300
  • 收稿日期:2021-05-29 修回日期:2021-07-10 出版日期:2021-08-28 发布日期:2022-02-28
  • 通讯作者: ** 卢飞 (1984—),男 ,山东新泰人,硕士,副教授,主要从事空中交通规划与管理方面的研究。E-mail:lufei315@126.com。
  • 作者简介:张兆宁 (1964—),男,河北滦南人,博士,教授,主要从事空中交通规划与管理方面的研究。E-mail:zzhaoning@263.net。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金青年基金资助(71701202);中央高校基本科研业务费(3122014D037)。

Correlation analysis of QAR parameters for paired approach lateral position error

ZHANG Zhaoning, CHEN Zichen, LU Fei   

  1. School of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
  • Received:2021-05-29 Revised:2021-07-10 Online:2021-08-28 Published:2022-02-28

摘要: 为研究配对飞机进近阶段飞行员操作和环境因素与侧向位置误差间的关联性,结合快速存取记录器(QAR)数据,基于飞机侧向位置修正过程,识别影响侧向位置误差的QAR参数;建立模糊关联模型,模型中运用模糊C均值(FCM)聚类方法将QAR参数的样本值聚类,得到每个参数的隶属度矩阵;结合Apriori算法,挖掘参数间及参数与侧向位置误差间的关联规则;基于关联规则量化其中的关联性,使用A320-200的真实样本数据进行关联性分析。结果表明:识别出的QAR参数在指定30%支持度下都与侧向位置误差相关;飞机的仰角、坡度、方向舵位置以及风向对侧向位置误差影响较大。

关键词: 配对进近, 侧向位置误差, 快速存取记录器(QAR)数据, 关联性分析, 模糊关联模型

Abstract: In order to study correlation between pilot operation and environmental factors and lateral position error during aircraft approach,QAR parameters that affect lateral position error based on aircraft lateral position correction process and QAR data were identified. Fuzzy correlation model was established, in which fuzzy C-means (FCM) clustering method was used to cluster sample values of QAR parameters, and membership matrix of each parameter was obtained, combined with Apriori algorithm, association rules among parameters and between parameters and lateral position errors were mined. Correlation was quantified based on association rules, and real sample data of A320-200 was used for correlation analysis. The results show that identified QAR parameters are all related to lateral position error under specified 30% support degree. Elevation angle, slope, rudder position and wind direction have great influence on lateral position error.

Key words: paired approach, lateral position error, quick access recorder(QAR) data, correlation analysis, fuzzy association model

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