中国安全科学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (8): 251-259.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.08.0264

• 防灾减灾技术与工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

北京市地下空间内涝灾害易损性测度模型构建与参数分析

娄和壮(), 江浩   

  1. 北京城市排水集团有限责任公司, 北京 100004
  • 收稿日期:2026-03-18 修回日期:2026-05-30 出版日期:2026-08-28
  • 作者简介:

    娄和壮 (1995—),男,辽宁庄河人,硕士,工程师,主要从事城市安全风险防控方面的工作。E-mail:

    江浩 工程师

Construction and parameter analysis of vulnerability measurement model for waterlogging disaster in underground space of Beijing

Lou Hezhuang(), Jiang Hao   

  1. Beijing Drainage Group Co., Ltd., Beijing 100004, China
  • Received:2026-03-18 Revised:2026-05-30 Published:2026-08-28

摘要:

为探究地下空间内涝灾害风险,以北京市中心城区3 980个地下空间样本为研究对象,采用齐普夫分布描述其规模面积的非正态长尾分布特征,构建多源数据融合的地下空间内涝易损性测度模型,量化不同淹没阈值情境下风险动态演化特征,并揭示距离敏感性k、人口密度p和用途重要性系数c对易损性的影响机制,进而针对不同用途地下空间提出差异化防治措施。结果表明:北京市中心城区地下空间内涝灾害风险呈核心-边缘分异特征,随淹没高度阈值由0.2 m增至0.8 m,风险空间分布由点状聚集演化为带状延伸,低风险地下空间抗灾能力随淹没高度阈值增加而快速衰减;距离敏感性k的倒数与内涝灾害易损性呈显著负相关,人口密度则呈显著正相关;随用途重要性系数提升,综合用途地下空间风险显著上升,通过消除周边积水点、降低内涝时该区域人员活动等工程措施可显著降低风险。

关键词: 地下空间, 内涝灾害, 易损性测度模型, 淹没高度阈值, 距离敏感性, 用途重要性系数

Abstract:

To investigate the risk of waterlogging hazards in underground spaces, taking 3 980 underground space samples from Beijing's central urban area as the research subject, the Zipf distribution was employed to characterize the non-normal long-tail distribution features of their scale areas. A vulnerability measurement model for underground space waterlogging based on multi-source data fusion was constructed. The dynamic evolution patterns of risks under varying inundation threshold scenarios were quantified, and the influence mechanisms of distance sensitivity (k), population density (p), and usage importance coefficient (c) on vulnerability were elucidated. Differentiated prevention and control measures were proposed for underground spaces with different purposes. The results show that the risk of waterlogging disasters in Beijing's central urban underground spaces exhibits a core-periphery differentiation characteristic. As the inundation height threshold increases from 0.2 m to 0.8 m, the spatial distribution of risks evolves from point-like aggregation to band-like extension. The disaster resistance capacity of low-risk underground spaces diminishes rapidly with increasing inundation height thresholds. The straight-line distance is significantly negatively correlated with waterlogging vulnerability, whereas population density shows a significant positive correlation. With the rise in the usage importance coefficient, the risk associated with multi-functional underground spaces increases markedly. Engineering measures aimed at eliminating surrounding water accumulation points and reducing human activities in these areas during urban flooding can significantly mitigate risks.

Key words: underground space, waterlogging disaster, vulnerability measurement model, inundation height threshold, distance sensitivity, usage importance coefficient

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