异质决策者划分下应急物流路径多准则群决策

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2020.01.026

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 168-173.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2020.01.026

异质决策者划分下应急物流路径多准则群决策

张有洋, 朱昌锋教授, 韩桴

兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州 730070

收稿日期:2019-10-19 修回日期:2019-12-19 出版日期:2020-01-28
作者简介:张有洋 (1996—),男,甘肃嘉峪关人,硕士研究生,研究方向为交通运输规划与管理E-mail: maywizsep@163.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(71961016);教育部人文社会科学研究规划资金资助(15XJAZH002,18YJAZH148);甘肃省自然科学基金资助(18JR3RA125)。

Multi-criteria group decision-making for emergency logistics route by heterogeneous decision makers

ZHANG Youyang, ZHU Changfeng, HAN Fu

School of Traffic and Transportation,Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou Gansu 730070,China

Received:2019-10-19 Revised:2019-12-19 Published:2020-01-28

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为提高应急救援效率,保证应急物资及时送达,选取多个评价指标构建直觉模糊评价矩阵,以简化应急物流路径优化的复杂性;并运用改进前景理论(MPT),依据不同决策偏好将决策者划分为冒险型、中间型和保守型3类,提出异质决策者划分下的应急物流路径决策方法;然后进行实例分析,分别得出冒险型、中间型和保守型的决策结果并加以对比,在此基础上分析部分关键参数的灵敏度。与既有方法的结果对比表明:该方法考虑了异质决策者的理性程度,使决策结果更加符合实际,且决策结果受决策者理性程度和决策偏好的共同影响。

关键词: 应急物流路径, 改进前景理论(MPT), 异质决策者, 直觉模糊集, 多准则群决策

Abstract: In order to improve emergency rescue efficiency and ensure the emergency supplies being delivered timely, several evaluation indexes were selected to construct the intuitionistic fuzzy evaluation matrix to simplify the complexity of emergency logistics path optimization. In addition, the MPT was applied to divide decision makers according to different decision preferences into three categories: risk-taking, intermediate and conservative. An emergency logistics path decision method under heterogeneous decision makers division was established. Then the results of risk-taking, intermediate and conservative decision-making were obtained and contrasted by case analysis, and on this basis, the sensitivity of several key parameters was analyzed. The results show that compared with existing methods, this proposed method takes the rationality of heterogeneous decision makers into consideration and makes the decision results more conform to reality, and that the decision outcomes are affected both by rationality and decision preference of decision makers.

Key words: emergency logistics route, modified prospect theory(MPT), heterogeneous decision maker, intuitionistic fuzzy sets, multi-criteria group decision-making

中图分类号:

X928.03

张有洋, 朱昌锋, 韩桴. 异质决策者划分下应急物流路径多准则群决策[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2020, 30(1): 168-173.

ZHANG Youyang, ZHU Changfeng, HAN Fu. Multi-criteria group decision-making for emergency logistics route by heterogeneous decision makers[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2020, 30(1): 168-173.

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异质决策者划分下应急物流路径多准则群决策

Multi-criteria group decision-making for emergency logistics route by heterogeneous decision makers

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