中国安全科学学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (3): 35-41.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2023.03.0645

• 安全社会科学与安全管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

输气站场人员“意图+轨迹”早期智能风险预警

李威君(), 高鹏, 王宇   

  1. 山东科技大学 安全与环境工程学院(安全与应急管理学院),山东 青岛 266590
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-14 修回日期:2023-01-08 出版日期:2023-03-28 发布日期:2023-11-28
  • 作者简介:

    李威君 (1988—),女,山东烟台人,博士,副教授,主要从事油气生产过程风险评估与预警、事故预防与风险控制理论、应急管理与过程评价等方面的研究。E-mail:

  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学青年基金资助(51904169); 山东省自然科学基金资助(ZR2019BEE018)

Intelligent and risk early warning of personnel at gas transmission station using"intention + trajectory"

LI Weijun(), GAO Peng, WANG Yu   

  1. College of Safety and Environmental Engineering (School of Safety and Emergency Management), Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao Shandong 266590, China
  • Received:2022-10-14 Revised:2023-01-08 Online:2023-03-28 Published:2023-11-28

摘要:

为防止输气站场无关人员闯入作业区造成事故,提前预判人员可能的位置,提出一种融合人员行进意图和轨迹的人员位置早期智能预判方法,建立基于机器视觉的输气站场人员行动“意图+轨迹”早期智能风险预警模型;在收集人员行动图像的基础上,通过方向梯度直方图(HOG)提取人员头部方向特征,利用支持向量机(SVM)分类器分类识别头部方向,分为正常直行、观望中直行、意图转弯3种行进意图,根据头部方向初步判别其行进意图以预判行进方向;对识别出人员意图转弯的情形进行持续追踪,结合卡尔曼滤波算法预测人员短时行进轨迹,从而实现对不同风险情景的预测,达到分级早期预警的目的。研究结果表明:该方法辨识行人意图准确率为90.79%,预测与实际轨迹曲线间相关系数r1为0.994 84,r2为0.993 43,两者高度相关,准确率较高,能够实现输气站场无关人员闯入的早期智能监管。

关键词: 输气站场, 行进意图, 轨迹预测, 风险预警, 机器视觉

Abstract:

In order to prevent accidents caused by irrelevant personnel entering the operation area of gas transmission station, the early prediction of personnel location was necessary. Therefore, a method integrating personnel moving intention and trajectory was proposed and the intelligent risk warning model of personnel at gas transmission station using"intention + trajectory"based on machine vision was built. With the personnel walking images collected, features of personnel head were extracted through the Histogram of Oriented Gradient(HOG). Then the Support Vector Machine(SVM) classifier was used to classify and recognize the head direction. Thus the intention of moving direction (normal straight ahead, straight ahead under observation, and intent to turn) was preliminarily predicted based on the head direction. The situation where people intend to turn was tracked continuously and the Kalman filtering algorithm was used to predict moving trajectory. Therefore, different risk scenarios were predicted and layered early warning was achieved. The research results show that the accuracy rate of moving intention identification is 90.79%, and the correlation coefficients between the predicted curves and actual trajectory ones are r1=0.994 84, r2=0.993 43. It indicates that the predicted curves and actual trajectory ones are highly correlated and the accuracy of prediction is high. The method can achieve accurate early warning of the intrusion of irrelevant personnel at the gas transmission stations.

Key words: gas transmission station, moving intention, trajectory prediction, risk early warning, machine vision