基于未确知测度的矿井瓦斯防治管理体系评价

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.01.018

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1): 98-103.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.01.018

基于未确知测度的矿井瓦斯防治管理体系评价

肖鹏^1,2 副教授, 丁毅¹ 高级工程师, 李树刚^1,2 教授

1 西安科技大学安全科学与工程学院, 陕西西安 710054
2 西部矿井开采及灾害防治教育部重点实验室,陕西西安 710054

收稿日期:2016-10-11 修回日期:2016-11-28 发布日期:2020-11-23
作者简介:肖鹏 (1982—),男,陕西西安人,博士,副教授,主要从事矿山安全及瓦斯灾害防治方面的研究。E-mail:xiaopeng@xust.edu.cn。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金科学仪器基础研究专款资助(51327007);国家自然科学基金资助(51304156);中国博士后基金资助(2014M562433)。

Evaluation of gas prevention and control system based on unascertained measurement model

XIAO Peng^1,2, DING Yi¹, LI Shugang^1,2

1 College of Safety Engineering, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China
2 Key laboratory of Western Mine Exploitation and Hazard Prevention of the Ministry of Education, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China

Received:2016-10-11 Revised:2016-11-28 Published:2020-11-23

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为反映煤矿瓦斯灾害防治工作的整体状态,针对煤矿瓦斯防治管理系统存在未确知信息的特点,筛选影响煤矿安全的相关因素,建立矿井瓦斯防治管理系统安全等级评价指标体系。基于未确知测度理论、方法和矿井瓦斯防治管理系统指标体系中诸多不确定性因素,运用层次分析法确定各级指标的权重值;通过计算各评价指标的未确知测度向量,建立未确知测度函数向量模型;依据置信度识别结果,最终确定矿井瓦斯防治管理系统的评价等级,并将所构建的模型应用于新疆某煤矿。实践表明,用该模型得到的评价结果与现场实际吻合。

关键词: 矿井瓦斯防治, 未确知测度, 置信度识别, 指标向量, 安全评价

Abstract: According to the characteristics of unascertained information in coal mine gas prevention and management system, factors affecting coal mine safety control were ientified to reflect the overall status of coal mine gas disaster prevention and control, and a safety evaluation index system of mine gas prevention and management system was established. Based on the unascertained measure theory and method, according to the uncertainties in the index system, weighs of the indexes were determined by using the analytic hierarchy process, and the unascertained measure vector of each evaluation index was quantitatively analyzed, an unascertained measure function vector model was built,according to the confidence of recognition results, and the evaluation level was determined .The model was applied to a certain coal mine in Xinjiang.The practice shows that the model can fully utilize the uncertain information contained in the research question, combine qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis, and be used to otain evaluation results conforming to the reality.

Key words: prevention and management of coal mine, unascertained measure ment, credible degree recognition, index vector, safety evaluation

中图分类号:

X936

肖鹏, 丁毅, 李树刚. 基于未确知测度的矿井瓦斯防治管理体系评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2017, 27(1): 98-103.

XIAO Peng, DING Yi, LI Shugang. Evaluation of gas prevention and control system based on unascertained measurement model[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2017, 27(1): 98-103.

参考文献

[1] 王淀佐.中国煤炭走清洁能源之路:评《中国洁净煤》[J].煤炭学报,2010,36(4):685-685.
WANG Dianzuo. The road of clean energy for Chinese coal resource∶comment on China Clean Coal[J].Journal of China Coal Society,2010,36(4):685-685.
[2] 许双泉,林海飞,马卫国,等.矿井瓦斯爆炸原因分析与防治对策[J].陕西煤炭,2009,28(6):6-7.
XU Shuangquan,LIN Haifei,MA Weiguo,et al. Analysis on the causes of mine gas explosion and its measures[J].Shaanxi Coal, 2009,28(6):6-7.
[3] 王志亮,朱锴,谷孟平.浅析煤炭企业瓦斯防治能力评估[J].华北科技学院学报, 2013,10(1):18-20.
WANG Zhiliang, ZHU Kai,GU Mengping. Analysis on capacity evaluation of gas prevention and cure in coal-corporation[J].Journal of North China Institute of Science and Technology, 2013,10(1):18-20.
[4] 孙庆刚.中国煤矿瓦斯灾害现状与防治对策研究[J].中国煤炭,2014,40(3):116-119.
SUN Qinggang. Research on status quo and prevention countermeasures of coal mine gas disaster in China[J].China Coal,2014,40(3):116-119.
[5] 王光远.未确知信息及其数学处理[J].哈尔滨建筑工程学院学报,1990,23(4):1-9.
WANG Guangyuan. Unascertained information and its mathematical treatment[J].Journal of Harbin Architecture and Civil Engineering Institute,1990,23(4):1-9.
[6] 刘辉, 冯涛, 谢东海,等. 煤层突出危险性预测的未确知测度方法研究[J].湖南科技大学学报:自然科学版,2008,23(4):19-22.
LIU Hui, FENG Tao, XIE Donghai, et al. Study on unascertained measurement method of coal seam outburst hazard prediction [J]. Journal of Hunan University of Science and Technology : Natural Science Edition,2008,23(4):19-22.
[7] 张景钢,金庆利,索诚宇.基于未确知测度理论及层次分析法矿井通风系统安全性评价研究[J].华北科技学院学报,2014,11(10):34-40.
ZHANG Jinggang,JING Qingli, SUO Chengyu. Research on safety evaluation of mine ventilation system on the basis of the unascertained measure theory and the analytic hierarchy process[J].Journal of North China Institute of Science and Technology,2014,11(10):34-40.
[8] 张芳燕,史秀志,陈沅江.基于未确知测度模型的非煤矿山安全标准化运行状况评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报,2012,22(8):144-149.
ZHANG Fangyan,SHI Xiuzhi,CHEN Yuanjiang. Evaluating operation of non-coal mines safety standardization based on unascertained measurement model[J].China Safety Science Journal,2012,22(8):144-149.
[9] 李艳强,秦跃平,刘宏波,等.基于未确知测度理论的安全生产状况评价研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2010,20(12):111-115.
LI Yanqiang,QIN Yueping,LIU Hongbo,et al. Research on safety production status evaluation based on uncertainty measurement theory[J].China Safety Science Journal,2010,20(12):111-115.
[10] 常健,张志军,王君莉.三标度模糊层次分析法在桥梁安全评估中的应用[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2014,10(8):156-161.
CHANG Jian,ZHANG Zhijun,WANG Junli. Application of three-scale fuzzy analytic hierarchy process in bridge safety assessment[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2014,10(8):156-161.
[11] 张龙,唐敏康.基于MABM和未确知理论的矿山安全管理安全评价方法研究[J].科技广场,2009(5):82-84.
ZHANG Long,TANG Minkang. Application research about MABM and unascertained mathematics in comprehensive evaluation of mine safety management[J].Science Mosaic,2009(5):82-84.

[1]	张琦, 王月峰, 李建春, 张斌, 徐江讲师. 深基坑紧邻地铁隧道安全评价方法^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2021, 31(4): 95-104.
[2]	刘啸奔, 王宝栋, 张东, 张宏. 地表载荷作用下含缺陷燃气管道安全评价^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2021, 31(10): 127-135.
[3]	周雪, 左忠义, 程伟. 基于组合赋权云模型的铁路旅客运输安全评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2020, 30(S1): 158-164.
[4]	江欣国, 任瀚堃, 范英飞, 李想, 付川云. 信号协调控制干线交通安全仿真分析[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2020, 30(3): 143-149.
[5]	张志雄, 叶雪云, 殷志强, 刘洋, 蓝声宁. 基于FAHP法的连续多跨渡槽拆除爆破安全评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2020, 30(11): 67-74.
[6]	宋雨欣. GUI下的高速铁路客运站安全评价系统^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(S2): 134-137.
[7]	李程睿, 赵明, 尹盼盼, 刘美池, 马乐陶. 高速铁路客运站安全评价^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(S2): 149-153.
[8]	邬春兰, 宋雨欣, 李晨. 高铁列车客运安全评价及风险管控^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(S1): 150-157.
[9]	伍毅敏, 蔡直言, 傅鹤林, 徐文浩, 戴路生, 马哲. 基于精细化模型的初期支护安全性评价^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(S1): 168-172.
[10]	王康, 董四辉. 轨道交通车辆系统安全评价云模型[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(9): 51-56.
[11]	冯亚娟, 都思竹, 张竞一. 基于EW-SPA的装配式建筑施工安全评价及预测[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(5): 85-90.
[12]	宋博. DEA-BP神经网络下地铁车站深基坑施工安全评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(5): 91-96.
[13]	李文龙, 李慧民, 裴兴旺, 刘怡君. 基于多因素耦合的山区道路系统脆弱性评估[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(5): 165-170.
[14]	李辉, 易富, 张佳. 基于因素空间的尾矿坝稳定性综合评价[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(12): 28-34.
[15]	刘美池, 尹盼盼, 荣文竽. 基于模糊模式识别的高铁快运安全综合评价^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2018, 28(S2): 149-154.

基于未确知测度的矿井瓦斯防治管理体系评价

Evaluation of gas prevention and control system based on unascertained measurement model

PDF

可视化

被引次数

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价