China Safety Science Journal ›› 2023, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 27-34.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2023.06.0530

• Safety social science and safety management • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Risk zoo(Ⅰ): composition and characterization of risk mapping based on metaphor theory

TONG Ruipeng(), HU Xiangyang, HE Jiehua, SUN Ninghao   

  1. School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2023-01-12 Revised:2023-04-12 Online:2023-08-07 Published:2023-12-28

Abstract:

The metaphor theory was used to thoroughly examine the elements and representations of risk mapping in order to improve the understanding and management of risk events. Based on the methodological concept of risk matrix, by examining the metaphorical features of various risk events, the risk mapping was divided into four quadrants: the black swan event, the gray rhino event, the golden monkey event and the white rabbit event. Taking into account the unique mechanisms of risk events and the attitudes and behaviors of managers, the events of "dragon king" and "great white shark" were added, which together with the events of "paper tiger", "white elephant", "dinosaur" and "ostrich" constituted a risk zoo map. Risk management and risk ontology were two viewpoints from which the study and implementation of risk zoo mapping were examined. The findings demonstrate that, in risk management, knowledge of risk assessors is also important besides considering the possibility and consequences of risk events. At the same time, the types of events will change as risk events develop. Finally, a process management theory-based applied universal process framework for risk zoo mapping is presented.

Key words: risk zoo, metaphor theory, risk mapping, risk management