Risk zoo (VII): risk classification system, evolution mechanism, and management strategies of grey rhino

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.08.1704

Abstract

Abstract:

The properties and risk characteristics of grey rhinos have been deeply investigated and used, which are new emerging concepts and metaphor theories in risk management areas. To prevent and mitigate risks and challenges nowadays, it is urgent to systematically investigate the grey rhino-related contexts. The risk classification system, evolutionary mechanism, and management strategies of grey rhinos were explored by integrating existing theoretical models and risk classification approaches. The results indicated that the grey rhino risk was attributed to objective environmental factors and subjective cognitive factors. Moreover, the grey rhino risk can be divided into hidden, stationary, and collisional gray rhinos based on properties, cognitive, state, time, spatial, and subject perspectives. The risk development trend of each grey rhino species was evaluated based on the mechanism of risk perception, risk distance, and risk framework influence factors. Furthermore, an evolutionary framework of "accumulation-fluctuation-mutation" within a complicated system was proposed to develop risk management strategies and improve cognitive abilities by identifying hidden gray rhinoceroses that were not easily perceived. The innovative idea is strengthened to resolve static grey rhinos of normalized coexistence, and agile mode is created to deal with sudden bursts of collision gray rhinos.

Key words: grey rhino risk, classification system, evolution mechanism, risk management, management strategies

CLC Number:

X913安全系统学

TONG Ruipeng, WANG Qian, ZHANG Xiaolei, ZHAO Jingrong. Risk zoo (VII): risk classification system, evolution mechanism, and management strategies of grey rhino[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2024, 34(8): 27-34.

Figures/Tables 4

References 24

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灰犀牛类型	管控视角	管控策略
隐藏灰犀牛	风险认知	提高多源异构信息感知能力
隐藏灰犀牛	风险认知	提升潜在风险认知能力
静止灰犀牛	创新思维	健全完善系统性风险监测机制
静止灰犀牛	创新思维	加强常态风险治理的创新思维
冲撞灰犀牛	敏捷治理	提高敏捷治理持续协调能力
冲撞灰犀牛	敏捷治理	塑造敏捷思维的价值观念