中国安全科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (6): 97-102.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.06.017

• 安全工程技术科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

贝叶斯网络在消防系统可靠性分析中的应用

陈长飞 讲师, 白国强 讲师   

  1. 华北水利水电大学 环境与市政工程学院,河南 郑州 450046
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-04 修回日期:2018-05-20 出版日期:2018-06-28 发布日期:2020-11-25
  • 作者简介:陈长飞(1973—),男,湖北浠水人,硕士,讲师,主要从事系统安全、风险建模与评估等方面研究。E-mail:chenchangfei@ncwu.edu.cn。

Application of Bayesian network in analysis of reliability of fire protection system

CHEN Changfei, BAI Guoqiang   

  1. School of Environment and Municipal Engineering,North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou Henan 450046,China
  • Received:2018-03-04 Revised:2018-05-20 Online:2018-06-28 Published:2020-11-25

摘要: 为评估消防系统的可靠性,基于贝叶斯网络分析原理,提出消防系统可靠性的贝叶斯分析方法;根据对消防系统关键部件的故障分析,确定贝叶斯网络节点,并运用多种方法分析节点概率;以自动喷水灭火系统为例,建立自动喷水灭火系统在不同启泵方式下的贝叶斯网络,计算并比较不同的启泵方式下系统的可靠性。研究表明:在低压压力开关常开触点与压力开关常开触点串联组成“与”门电路控制启泵的方式下,自动喷水灭火系统的可靠性较高;通过贝叶斯方法研究消防系统的可靠性更为合理,可为消防系统设计提供有益指导。

关键词: 贝叶斯网络, 可靠性, 自动喷水灭火系统, 节点概率, 启泵方式

Abstract: Based on the differences in the fire protection system work environments,two kinds of reliability were put forward.A Bayesian analysis program was developed for analyzing reliabilities of automatic fire protection systems.According to the fault analysis of the fire protection components,the Bayesian network nodes were identified,their probabilities were analyzed,and a Bayesian network of automatic sprinkler system was established in the case of automatic sprinkler system.A reliability comparison between different starting pump modes,shows that the wet automatic fire-extinguishing system has a higher reliability when the normally open contacts of low-pressure switch and the normally open contacts of the pressure switch are connected in series to form the AND circuit.

Key words: Bayesian network, reliability, automatic sprinkler system, probability of node, pump control method

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