中国安全科学学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (2): 127-134.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn 1003-3033.2021.02.018

• 公共安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

化工园区地震Na-Tech事件快速风险评估方法

刘大山1,2, 陈晓春1 教授, 多英全2 教授级高工, 师立晨2 教授级高工   

  1. 1 北京化工大学 化学工程学院,北京 100029;
    2 中国安全生产科学研究院 危险化学品安全技术研究所,北京 100012
  • 收稿日期:2020-11-29 修回日期:2021-01-17 出版日期:2021-02-28 发布日期:2021-08-18
  • 作者简介:刘大山 (1993—),男,山东菏泽人,硕士研究生,研究方向为化工安全。E-mail: liudashan93@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0801500)。

Rapid risk assessment method for chemical industry park earthquake Na-Tech event

LIU Dashan1,2, CHEN Xiaochun1, DUO Yingquan2, SHI Lichen2   

  1. 1 Chemical Engineering School, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China;
    2 Institute of Safety Technology For Hazardous Chemicals, China Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Beijing 100012, China
  • Received:2020-11-29 Revised:2021-01-17 Online:2021-02-28 Published:2021-08-18

摘要: 为有效评估地震灾害与化工园区工业事故的耦合风险,在分析地震灾害作用于化工园区致灾特征的基础上,理清化工园区的主要承灾体类型,辨识出地震破坏承灾体单元后引发的火灾、爆炸、中毒等工业事故的主要影响因素,采用层次分析法(AHP),提出综合考虑地震灾害与工业事故耦合作用的Na-Tech事件快速风险评估方法。该方法以化工园区企业为评估单位,根据评估结果划定企业Na-Tech事件风险等级,并将此方法应用于某化工园区企业的风险评估。结果表明:该方法可操作性强,计算所需数据量小,且能有效反映地震Na-Tech事件风险特点。

关键词: 地震, 化工园区, 层次分析法(AHP), Na-Tech事件, 风险评估

Abstract: In order to effectively evaluate coupling risk of earthquake disaster and industrial accidents in chemical industry park, based on analysis of characteristics of earthquake disasters in chemical industry parks, main disaster-bearing body types were clarified in chemical industry park and main influencing factors such as fire, explosion, and poisoning were identified that caused by earthquake damage to a disaster-bearing body unit using AHP, a rapid risk assessment method for Na-Tech event that comprehensively considers coupling effect of earthquake disasters and industrial accidents was proposed. This method takes chemical industry park enterprises as evaluation unit, risk level of enterprise Na-tech event was delimited according to evaluation results, and this method was applied to risk assessment of an enterprise in a chemical industry park. The results show that this method is feasible, the amount of data required for calculation is small, and it can effectively reflect risk characteristics of earthquake Na-tech events.

Key words: earthquake, chemical industry parks, analytic hierarchy process(AHP), Na-Tech events, risk assessment

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