China Safety Science Journal ›› 2019, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (12): 103-109.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2019.12.017

• Safety Science of Engineering and Technology • Previous Articles     Next Articles

R-factor Fisher discrimination for rock burst hazard level prediction

BI Juan1,2,3, LI Xijian1,2,3, CHEN Liuyu1,2,3   

  1. 1 Mining College, Guizhou University, Guiyang Guizhou 550025, China;
    2 Engineering Center for Safe Mining Technology Under Complex Geologic Condition, Guiyang Guizhou 550025, China;
    3 Institute of Gas Disaster Prevention and Coalbed Methane Development, Guizhou University, Guiyang Guizhou 550025, China
  • Received:2019-09-13 Revised:2019-11-22 Online:2019-12-28 Published:2020-11-24

Abstract: In order to improve prediction accuracy of hazard levels of rock burst with a small sample, an R-type factor analysis-Fisher discriminant prediction model is proposed. Firstly, with Yanshitai Coal Mine as an example, R-type factor analysis was used to process risk assessment index of rock burst, characteristic information of original index was extracted which were then replaced by a small number of main factors, and qualitative analysis of hazard levels was performed. Secondly, Fisher discriminant method was adopted to analyze R-type factor analysis results to determine distance between assessment set and different risk levels, and accuracy of judgment matrix was improved by rejudging training set. Finally, risk levels of rock burst were predicted according to judgment matrix. The results show that this model can weaken interaction between indicators and significantly improve predication accuracy for small samples.

Key words: rock burst, R-factor analysis, dimensionality analysis, Fisher discriminant method, prediction model, hazard assessment

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