Risk analysis of coupling domino effect in petroliferous tank farm

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.10.019

Abstract

Abstract: To investigate the influence of coupling effect in domino incidents in a petroliferous storage tank area on the propagation of accident, the definitions and connotations of coupling effect in different fields were used for reference, a definition of coupling effect in the domino incidents was given, and the multi-hazard and multi-factor coupling scenarios and a diagram of influence factors of coupling effect were built. Subsequently, the coupling effect of the thermal radiation caused by pool fire in a certain storage tank area was analyzed based on Bayesian network model. And the Netica software was used to analyze the most likely propagation path of the accident caused by pool fire. The results show that probability of domino incidents will increase when the tank is affected by the coupling effect of the multi-thermal radiation, and that protective measures of tank V₂₁ should be seriously taken to prevent the occurrence of domino incidents when pool fire occurs at tank V₁₁.

Key words: storage tank, domino accidents, coupling effect, pool fire, Bayesian network

CLC Number:

X937

CHEN Fuzhen, ZHANG Mingguang, WANG Yan, SONG Jian, ZHENG Feng. Risk analysis of coupling domino effect in petroliferous tank farm[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2017, 27(10): 111-116.

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