中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (10): 1-6.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.10.001

• 安全科学技术基础学科 •    下一篇

SIC思维下的事故致因模型构建与实证分析

罗通元1,2, 吴超1,2 教授   

  1. 1 中南大学 资源与安全工程学院,湖南 长沙 410083;
    2 中南大学 安全理论创新与促进研究中心,湖南 长沙 410083
  • 收稿日期:2017-07-10 修回日期:2017-09-18 出版日期:2017-10-20 发布日期:2020-11-05
  • 作者简介:罗通元 (1988—),男,陕西扶风人,博士研究生,研究方向为安全科学原理、安全信息学和风险认知等。E-mail:952551556@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助(51534008)。

Construction and empirical analysis of accident cause model under SIC thinking

LUO Tongyuan1,2, WU Chao1,2   

  1. 1 School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha Hunan 410083 China;
    2 Safety & Security Theory Innovation and Promotion Center of CSU, Changsha Hunan 410083, China
  • Received:2017-07-10 Revised:2017-09-18 Online:2017-10-20 Published:2020-11-05

摘要: 为从信息认知的视角探讨并丰富事故致因理论模型,基于认知心理学理论及信息加工过程,采用信息传播方法构建由外部过程和内部过程组成的安全信息认知(SIC)事故致因模型,模型包括3次主要噪声干扰、5个反馈环节、9种时间延迟现象和10次信号衰减现象;分析安全信息传递过程及其内涵,揭示安全信息的缺失和衰减现象和动态反馈机制;从发展事故理论、建立学科、完善体系和指导调查4方面提出模型的理论意义和实践价值。将建立的模型应用于典型事故案例,验证SIC模型的实证效果。结果表明:SIC有一定的可操作性,并为事故致因研究提供了全新的分析策略。

关键词: 安全信息认知(SIC), 事故致因, 认知心理学, 缺失和衰减, 实证案例

Abstract: In order to explore and enrich the theoretical model of accident causation from the perspective of information cognition, based on cognitive psychology theory and information processing process, the information dissemination method was used to built an SIC accident model composed of external process and internal process. The model includes three major noise disturbances, five feedback links, nine kinds of time delay phenomena and 10 times signal attenuation phenomena. The security information transmission process and its connotation were studied. The lack of security information and attenuation phenomena and dynamic feedback mechanism were revealed. From the perspectives of developing theory of accidents, establishing the disciplines, improving the system and guiding accident investigation, the theoretical significance and practical value of the model were examined. The results show that SIC is operationable and provides a new analysis strategy for accident causation research.

Key words: safety information cognitive (SIC), accident causation, cognitive psychology, loss and attenuation, empirical case

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