建筑业安全生产水平时空演变及影响因素分析

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2020.01.005

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 27-34.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2020.01.005

建筑业安全生产水平时空演变及影响因素分析

郑霞忠^1,2 教授, 仝立杨^**1, 陈国梁¹

1.三峡大学水利与环境学院,湖北宜昌 443002;
2.三峡大学安全生产标准化评审中心,湖北宜昌 443002

收稿日期:2019-10-20 修回日期:2019-12-15 出版日期:2020-01-28 发布日期:2021-01-22
通讯作者: ** 仝立杨(1997—),男,河南邓州人,硕士研究生,研究方向为建筑安全管理。E-mail: 2014165112@ctgu.edu.cn。
作者简介:郑霞忠 (1963—),男,湖北鄂州人,博士,教授,主要从事安全科学与工程方面的研究E-mail: zhengxz@126.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(51878385)。

Spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of work safety level in construction industry

ZHENG Xiazhong^1,2, TONG Liyang¹, CHEN Guoliang¹

1. College of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China;
2. Center of Standardization Evaluation for Production Safety, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei 443002, China

Received:2019-10-20 Revised:2019-12-15 Online:2020-01-28 Published:2021-01-22

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为从宏观上因地制宜提高建筑安全生产水平,需厘清其时空演变特征和影响因素。提出一种在窗口分析框架下,基于数据包络分析博弈交叉评价(DEA-GCE)方法的建筑安全生产水平分析模型,评估2012—2017年我国各省域建筑安全生产水平,并综合运用聚类分析、探索性空间分析、多元回归分析方法探究其时空演变特征及影响因素。结果表明:我国省域建筑安全生产水平存在低水平维持型、高水平稳定型、波动下降型以及波动提高型4种时间演变特征,且空间集聚特征显著,空间正相关性呈现逐渐增强趋势;省域经济发展水平,建筑业总产值占GDP比重,建筑业国有资产占总资产比重,勘察设计、监理从业人员数量以及政府监管投入为建筑安全生产水平的主导影响因素,除建筑业国有资产占总资产比重,其他因素均与之呈正相关。

关键词: 安全生产水平, 建筑业, 时空演变特征, 影响因素, 窗口分析, 数据包络分析博弈交叉评价(DEA-GCE)

Abstract: In order to improve work safety of construction industry correspondingly at a macro level, it is essential to clarify its spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors. Firstly, an analysis model of work safety level based on DEA-GCE was presented under window analysis framework. Then, it was applied to evaluate work safety level of construction industry between 2012 and 2017 in provinces and regions of China, and spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors were identified and explored by using cluster analysis, exploratory spatial analysis and multiple regression analysis methods. The results show that work safety level of China's construction industry presents four temporal evolution characteristics, namely low level maintaining type, high level stable type, fluctuatingly decreasing type and fluctuatingly improving type, and its spatial agglomeration is obvious with an increasingly enhanced trend of positive spatial correlation. Among all factors, local economic development, construction as a proportion of GDP, that of state-owned construction assets of total assets, survey and design, number of supervisors and government's investment in supervision are major influencing factors for work safety level,and all elements are positively correlated with that except from the proportion of state-owned assets.

Key words: work safety level, construction industry, spatial-temporal characteristics, influence factors, windows analysis, data envelopment analysis game cross-evaluation (DEA-GCE)

中图分类号:

X913.4

郑霞忠, 仝立杨, 陈国梁. 建筑业安全生产水平时空演变及影响因素分析[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2020, 30(1): 27-34.

ZHENG Xiazhong, TONG Liyang, CHEN Guoliang. Spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of work safety level in construction industry[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2020, 30(1): 27-34.

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建筑业安全生产水平时空演变及影响因素分析

Spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of work safety level in construction industry

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