考虑有限理性的应急物资博弈调配双目标优化

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2020.11.025

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 168-174.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2020.11.025

考虑有限理性的应急物资博弈调配双目标优化

郑彦辉¹, 朱昌锋¹ 教授, 王庆荣² 教授, 刘思楠¹, 马阳阳¹

1 兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州 730070;
2 兰州交通大学电子与信息工程学院,甘肃兰州 730070

收稿日期:2020-08-30 修回日期:2020-10-17 出版日期:2020-11-28 发布日期:2021-07-15
作者简介:郑彦辉 (1995―),男,甘肃定西人,硕士研究生,研究方向为交通运输规划与管理。E-mail: ZhengYh2015@163.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(71961016); 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助(15XJAZH002,18YJAZH148)。

Bi-objective optimization of emergency material game allocation considering limited rationality

ZHENG Yanhui¹, ZHU Changfeng¹, WANG Qingrong², LIU Sinan¹, MA Yangyang¹

1 School of Traffic and Transportation, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou Gansu 730070, China;
2 School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou Gansu 730070, China

Received:2020-08-30 Revised:2020-10-17 Online:2020-11-28 Published:2021-07-15

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为提高大规模突发灾害初期的应急管理水平,使应急物资高效合理地调配至各灾点,考虑应急物资短缺、调配过程复杂等特征以及有限理性条件下人们对应急物资的竞争心理,运用前景理论刻画应急物资分配的心理满意度,同时,考虑次生灾害造成的物资运输时间延误,以应急物资运输时间最短与物资分配心理满意度最高为优化目标,构建非合作博弈环境下的应急物资调配模型;设计NSGA-Ⅱ算法求解该模型后得到Pareto解集,选取理想解作为模型满意方案。结果表明:该模型及算法是有效和收敛的,由该模型得到的满意方案更具高效性和公平性。

关键词: 有限理性, 应急物资调配, 非合作博弈, 前景理论, 次生灾害, NSGA-Ⅱ算法

Abstract: In order to improve emergency management in early stages of a large-scale sudden disaster, and to effectively and reasonably allocate emergency materials to each affected point, prospect theory was applied to describe people's psychological satisfaction with supplies' distribution considering shortage of emergency materials, complexity of allocation process and people's competitive psychology under limited rationality. At the same time, in view of time delays of material transportation caused by secondary disasters, a bi-objective optimization allocation model was constructed in non-cooperative game environment to minimize emergency material transportation time and maximize overall psychological satisfaction at each affected point. Finally, NSGA-Ⅱ algorithm was designed to solve the model before Pareto solution set was obtained, and ideal solution was selected as satisfactory solution. The results show that the model and algorithm are effective and convergent, and satisfactory solution obtained by the model is more efficient and fair

Key words: limited rationality, emergency material allocation, non-cooperative game, prospect theory, secondary disaster, NSGA-Ⅱ algorithm

中图分类号:

X928.03

郑彦辉, 朱昌锋, 王庆荣, 刘思楠, 马阳阳. 考虑有限理性的应急物资博弈调配双目标优化[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2020, 30(11): 168-174.

ZHENG Yanhui, ZHU Changfeng, WANG Qingrong, LIU Sinan, MA Yangyang. Bi-objective optimization of emergency material game allocation considering limited rationality[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2020, 30(11): 168-174.

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考虑有限理性的应急物资博弈调配双目标优化

Bi-objective optimization of emergency material game allocation considering limited rationality

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