改进CRITIC修正G2-TOPSIS的钻孔自燃预测模型及应用

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2019.11.005

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (11): 26-31.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2019.11.005

改进CRITIC修正G2-TOPSIS的钻孔自燃预测模型及应用

汪伟^1,2, 贾宝山^1,2 教授, 祁云^1,2

1 辽宁工程技术大学安全科学与工程学院,辽宁阜新 123000;
2 辽宁工程技术大学矿山热动力灾害与防治教育部重点实验室,辽宁葫芦岛 125100

收稿日期:2019-07-25 修回日期:2019-09-15 发布日期:2020-10-30
作者简介:汪伟 (1991—),男,河北玉田人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为矿井火灾防治理论与技术。E-mail:303109626@qq.com。
基金资助:
国家重点研发计划(2018YFC0807900)。

Prediction model of spontaneous combustion risk of extraction drilling based on improved CRITIC modified G2-TOPSIS method and its application

WANG Wei^1,2, JIA Baoshan^1,2, QI Yun^1,2

1 College of Safety Science and Engineering, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin Liaoning 123000, China;
2 Key Laboratory of Mine Thermodynamic Disasters Prevention and Control of Ministry of Education, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao Liaoning 125100, China

Received:2019-07-25 Revised:2019-09-15 Published:2020-10-30

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对瓦斯抽采钻孔自燃危险评价系统模型中指标权重难以确定的问题,提出一种改进的基于指标相关性权重确定法(CRITIC)的G2赋权法。首先引入欧式距离函数,建立优化决策模型,采用CRITIC的“差异驱动”型赋权法修正“功能驱动”型G2赋权法;其次获得各指标综合权重,评价影响钻孔自燃危险因素的主次关系;再次基于逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)“驱动功能”的G2赋权法,建立G2-TOPSIS钻孔自燃危险评判模型;然后分析贴近度,预测钻孔自燃危险等级;最后将该模型应用于晋牛煤矿1303工作面瓦斯抽采钻孔。结果表明:煤氧化还原燃点温差为诱发钻孔自燃危险的主导因素;钻孔自燃危险等级为III级,预测结果与实际情况相吻合。

关键词: 瓦斯抽采, 钻孔自燃预测, 综合权重, 基于相关性指标权重确定(CRITIC), G2-逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)评判模型

Abstract: Considering it is difficult to determine index weight in evaluation model of spontaneous combustion risk of gas extraction drilling, an improved G2 weighting method based on CRITIC was proposed. Firstly, Euclidean distance function was introduced to establish an optimal decision-making model and CRITIC's "differential-driven" type weighting method was used to modify "function-driven" G2 weighting method. Secondly, comprehensive weight of each index was obtained, and primary and secondary relationship of risk factors that influence drilling spontaneous combustion was evaluated. Then G2-TOPSIS extraction drilling self-ignition risk assessment model was constructed based on TOPSIS "driving function" G2 weighting method, degree of closeness was analyzed, and risk level was predicted. Finally, this model was applied to gas extraction drilling of 1303 working face in Jinniu Coal Mine. The results show that temperature difference of coal oxidation-reduction ignition point was the dominant factor for extraction drilling spontaneous combustion which is rated as Class III, and prediction results of this model are consistent with actual situation.

Key words: gas extraction, prediction of drilling spontaneous combustion, comprehensive weight, criteria importance through intercriteria correlation (CRITIC) method, G2-technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) evaluation model

中图分类号:

X936

汪伟, 贾宝山, 祁云. 改进CRITIC修正G2-TOPSIS的钻孔自燃预测模型及应用[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(11): 26-31.

WANG Wei, JIA Baoshan, QI Yun. Prediction model of spontaneous combustion risk of extraction drilling based on improved CRITIC modified G2-TOPSIS method and its application[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2019, 29(11): 26-31.

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改进CRITIC修正G2-TOPSIS的钻孔自燃预测模型及应用

Prediction model of spontaneous combustion risk of extraction drilling based on improved CRITIC modified G2-TOPSIS method and its application

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