中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (5): 36-40.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.05.007

• 安全系统学 • 上一篇    下一篇

兼顾主客观因素的高速公路交通安全综合评价模型

陈杰, 胡启洲 副教授, 诸云 讲师   

  1. 南京理工大学 自动化学院,江苏 南京 210094
  • 收稿日期:2017-02-05 修回日期:2017-04-10 出版日期:2017-05-20 发布日期:2020-10-30
  • 作者简介:陈 杰 (1994—),男,江苏如皋人,硕士研究生,研究方向为道路交通安全。E-mail:844359791@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助(51178157);国家统计科研计划项目(2012LY150); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(30916011338)。

Comprehensive evaluation model of freeway traffic safety considering subjective and objective factors

CHEN Jie, HU Qizhou, ZHU Yun   

  1. School of Automation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing Jiangsu 210094, China
  • Received:2017-02-05 Revised:2017-04-10 Online:2017-05-20 Published:2020-10-30

摘要: 为了准确评价高速公路交通安全水平,通过分析高速公路事故特点及高速公路交通安全影响因素,建立适用于高速公路交通安全的评价指标体系,分别构建基于层次熵和基于向量相似度的综合评价模型。其中,层次熵评价模型采用层次分析法(AHP)和熵权法确定评价指标的主客观权重,组合后和指标数据加权进而得到评价结果;向量相似度评价模型通过向量相似度对高速公路交通安全状况统计数据进行综合分析。用以上2种模型评价江苏省高速公路的交通安全水平。结果表明:2种模型计算得到的江苏省高速公路交通安全等级都趋于较安全,评价结果具有一致性,且与实际情况相符。层次熵模型侧重于指标数据的客观性,而向量相似度模型更侧重于人的主观性。

关键词: 高速公路, 交通安全, 综合评价, 层次熵, 主客观结合, 向量相似度

Abstract: In order to accurately evaluate the level of freeway traffic safety, this paper analyzed the characteristics of accidents on freeway and the factors affecting the freeway traffic safety, established an evaluation index system for freeway traffic safety, and constructed a comprehensive evaluation model based on hierarchical entropy and a comprehensive evaluation model based on vector similarity. The hierarchical entropy evaluation model used the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) and the entropy weight method to determine the subjective and objective weights of the evaluation indexes, the weighted average of the index data and the evaluation results. The vector similarity evaluation model used the vector similarity degree to analyze the traffic safety status of the freeway and conduct a comprehensive analysis. The two models were used to evaluate the traffic safety level of the freeway in Jiangsu Province. The results show that the traffic safety level of freeway in Jiangsu Province is high and the evaluation results are consistent with the actual situation.

Key words: freeway, traffic safety, comprehensive evaluation, hierarchical entropy, combination of subjective and objective, vector similarity

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