中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (7): 36-41.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.07.007

• 安全系统学 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑员工行为安全的码头作业流程设计方法

金淳 教授, 刘禹彤   

  1. 大连理工大学 管理与经济学部,辽宁 大连 116024
  • 收稿日期:2017-03-21 修回日期:2017-05-14 发布日期:2020-11-26
  • 作者简介:金 淳 (1963—),男,辽宁大连人,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事管理系统工程、物流与供应链管理、物流系统建模、仿真与优化等方面的研究。E-mail: jinchun@dlut.edu.cn。刘禹彤 (1988—),女,吉林长春人,硕士研究生,研究方向为管理系统工程。E-mail:liuyutong@dlut.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助(71271041)。

Method of designing operation process for seaport with consideration of operators' behavioral safety

JIN Chun, LIU Yutong   

  1. Faculty of Management and Economics, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian Liaoning 116024,China
  • Received:2017-03-21 Revised:2017-05-14 Published:2020-11-26

摘要: 为降低具有人机合作特点的码头库场装卸作业事故发生率,提出一种考虑员工行为安全的作业流程设计方法。首先,分析作业人员的不安全行为,综合模糊事故树和贝叶斯网络分析作业流程的安全性,提出分析不安全行为产生原因的方法;然后,建立以作业事故发生概率最小化为目标,并满足时间约束的作业流程优化设计数学模型;最后,以北方某港口散货码头的钢板装卸作业为实例进行分析。结果表明:在仅考虑抑制7项主要不安全行为的条件下,用该方法可降低顶上事件发生概率约30%。

关键词: 作业流程, 设计方法, 贝叶斯网络(BN), 事故树, 不安全行为, 模糊数

Abstract: A method of designing operation process was worked out for improving safety in material handling operation at seaports with consideration of human's unsafe behaviors. Unsafe behaviors of operators were analyzed with the fuzzy fault tree method and the Bayesian network method to identify the reasons for the unsafe behaviors. A mathematical model, aiming at minimizing the probability of accidents and satisfying the working time constraint condition, was built for optimizing design of operation process. After this, an actual case based on the operation on a port in northern China was illustrated. The results show that the method can enhance the process safety by reducing about 30% occurrence probability of the top event under the condition that just top 7 unsafe behaviors were considered.

Key words: operation process, design method, Bayesian network (BN), fault tree, unsafe behavior, fuzzy number

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