复杂工程项目施工阶段行为风险评价模型

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.08.028

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (8): 162-168.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.08.028

复杂工程项目施工阶段行为风险评价模型

温国锋教授, 房颖, 张帆帆

山东工商学院管理科学与工程学院,山东烟台 264005

收稿日期:2017-04-23 修回日期:2017-06-27 出版日期:2017-08-20 发布日期:2020-10-13
作者简介:房颖(1993—),女,河北邯郸人,硕士研究生,研究方向为工程项目管理与风险分析。E-mail:fangying199310@163.com。温国锋 (1971—),男,内蒙古赤峰人,博士,教授,硕士生导师,主要从事项目管理与风险分析、工程管理、决策理论与方法等方面的研究。E-mail:wenguofeng@sdibt.edu.cn。
基金资助:
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助(13YJA630100);“十三五”山东省高等学校科研创新平台项目;山东工商学院研究生科技创新基金资助(2016yc1201004)。

Model for evaluating behavior risk in construction stage of complex construction project

WEN Guofeng, FANG Ying, ZHANG Fanfan

School of Management Science and Engineering, Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai Shandong 264005, China

Received:2017-04-23 Revised:2017-06-27 Online:2017-08-20 Published:2020-10-13

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为更好地评价复杂工程项目施工阶段的主体行为风险,根据行为风险特点,从行为主体、组织行为、项目管理目标等3个维度,全面识别该阶段的主体行为风险因素,构建评价指标体系。在分析对比相关模型的基础上,引入直觉模糊层次分析法(IFAHP),以确定评价指标的权重;利用直觉模糊加权平均(IFWA)算子,集结群决策下的定性和定量指标评价信息,构建IFAHP主体行为风险评价模型,并通过运行算例检验其有效性。结果表明:该模型充分考虑了行为风险的不确定性和专家评价模糊性,用其最终得到的行为风险等级与实际情况相符。

关键词: 复杂工程项目, 直觉模糊层次分析法(IFAHP), 主体行为风险, 直觉模糊加权平均 (IFWA)算子, 风险评价

Abstract: In order to evaluate the subject behavior risk in construction phase of the complex construction project better, subject behavior risk factors were identified comprehensively for the construction phase, then an evaluation indicator system was established.These were based on the character of behavior risk and get from three dimensions-behavior subject, organizational behavior and project management goal.Weights of the factors were obtained by using the IFAHP method. Pieces of information on both the qualitative evaluation and the quantitative evaluation of the factors were assembled for the group decision making by using IFWA operators. Then a subject behavior risk evaluation model of IFAHP was built. Finally. The validity of the model was verified by running an example. The result shows that the model fully considers the uncertainty of behavior risk and the fuzziness of expert evaluation, and that the evaluation of the subject behavior risk by the model conforms with the actual situation.

Key words: complex construction project, intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IFAHP), subject behavior risk, intuitionistic fuzzy weighted average (IFWA) operator, risk evaluation

中图分类号:

X948

温国锋, 房颖, 张帆帆. 复杂工程项目施工阶段行为风险评价模型[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2017, 27(8): 162-168.

WEN Guofeng, FANG Ying, ZHANG Fanfan. Model for evaluating behavior risk in construction stage of complex construction project[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2017, 27(8): 162-168.

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复杂工程项目施工阶段行为风险评价模型

Model for evaluating behavior risk in construction stage of complex construction project

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