中国安全科学学报 ›› 2024, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (S1): 246-252.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.S1.0030

• 安全工程技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于N-BEATS的托辊滚动轴承剩余寿命预测

滕春阳(), 李庆健, 陈金刚, 张建飞, 薛国庆   

  1. 国能宝日希勒能源有限公司, 内蒙古 呼伦贝尔 021000
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-12 修回日期:2024-05-15 出版日期:2024-12-02
  • 作者简介:

    滕春阳 (1995—),男,满族,辽宁凤城人,本科,主要从事煤矿智能化及煤矿机电管理工作。E-mail:

    李庆健, 工程师

Remaining life prediction of roller bearings based on N-BEATS

TENG Chunyang(), LI Qingjian, CHEN Jingang, ZHANG Jianfei, XUE Guoqing   

  1. CHN Energy Baorixile Energy Co., Ltd., Hulun Buir Inner Mongolia 021000, China
  • Received:2024-03-12 Revised:2024-05-15 Published:2024-12-02

摘要:

为减少煤矿井下带式输送机因托辊故障带来的安全事故和经济损失,提高工作人员和机组设备的安全性和运输效率,对于不同工况下不同位置托辊滚动轴承出现的异常振动情况,应用具有深层结构和残差网络的N-BEATS预测模型进行滚动轴承寿命预测。首先,分析时间序列预测模型N-BEATS的原理及结构,并根据N-BEATS原理建立适用于托辊滚动轴承的寿命预测模型;然后,以某矿带式输送机托辊实际运行工况为背景,搭建基于DVS技术的托辊滚动轴承振动信号监测平台,采集不同工况下的托辊轴承振动信号数据;最后,将采集到的托辊滚动轴承振动数据输入到基于时间序列预测模型(N-BEATS)、卷积神经网络(RCNN)、相似性预测模型中,与真实值进行对比,并评估3种托辊滚动轴承剩余寿命预测质量。结果表明:N-BEATS预测模型相对于RCNN和相似性预测模型,其平均绝对误差分别提升了5.3%和4.1%;N-BEATS预测模型相对均方根误差分别提升了6.3%和5.2%。

关键词: 基于时间序列(N-BEATS)预测模型, 托辊, 滚动轴承, 寿命预测, 带式输送机, 振动信号

Abstract:

In order to reduce safety accidents and economic losses caused by roller failures of underground belt conveyors in coal mines and improve the safety and transportation efficiency of workers and unit equipment, the N-BEATS prediction model with deep structure and residual network was applied to predict the life of rolling bearings for abnormal vibration of roller bearings at different positions under different working conditions. Firstly, the principle and structure of the N-BEATS prediction model were analyzed, and a life prediction model suitable for roller bearings was established based on the N-BEATS principle. Then, a vibration signal monitoring platform for roller bearings based on DVS technology was built against the actual roller operating conditions of a conveyor belt. The vibration signals of roller bearings under different working conditions were collected. Finally, the collected vibration data of roller bearings were input into the N-BEATS model, convolutional neural network (RCNN), and similarity prediction model, and they were compared with the actual values. The remaining life prediction quality of the three types of roller bearings was evaluated. The results show that the N-BEATS prediction model has an average absolute error increase of 5.3% and 4.1%, respectively, compared to RCNN and similarity prediction models. The relative root mean square error of the N-BEATS prediction model is increased by 6.3% and 5.2%.

Key words: neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series (N-BEATS) prediction model, roller, rolling bearing, life prediction, belt conveyor, vibration signal

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