中国安全科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (10): 156-161.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.10.026

• 公共安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

事故灾难类城市安全风险评估基本原则与流程

杨国梁1,2 高级工程师, 多英全1,2 教授级高工, 王如君1,2 教授级高工, 魏利军1,2 教授级高工, 吴宗之2,3 研究员   

  1. 1 中国安全生产科学研究院,北京 100012
    2 重大危险源监控与事故应急技术国家安全监管总局安全生产重点实验室,北京 100012
    3 国家安全生产监督管理总局 职业健康司,北京 100713
  • 收稿日期:2018-07-09 修回日期:2018-09-02 出版日期:2018-10-28 发布日期:2020-11-20
  • 作者简介:杨国梁 (1986—),男,山东临清人,博士,高级工程师,主要从事城市安全风险评估、危险化学品重大危险源定量风险计算等方面的研究。E-mail:yangguoliang@outlook.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC0801506)。

Research on basic principles and procedure for assessing urban accident disasters risk

YANG Guoliang1,2, DUO Yingquan1,2, WANG Rujun1,2, WEI Lijun1,2, WU Zongzhi2,3   

  1. 1 China Academy of Safety Science and Technology,Beijing 100012,China
    2 Key Laboratory of Major Hazard Control and Accident Emergency Technology,State Administration of Work Safety,Beijing 100012,China
    3 State Administration of Work Safety,Beijing 100713,China
  • Received:2018-07-09 Revised:2018-09-02 Online:2018-10-28 Published:2020-11-20

摘要: 为系统全面地评估城市中的事故灾难类安全风险,通过分析我国城市面临的事故灾难特点,结合构建双控预防机制的要求,提出事故灾难类城市安全风险评估的基本原则,包括网格化原则、分层分类原则和突出固有风险原则;制定评估流程,即首先由“面”及“点”辨识风险,将风险拆分到区域、行业、企业等不同层面,再由“点”及“面”进行评估,通过风险叠加,梳理出城市中高风险的企业、行业和区域;实例应用表明:基本原则和流程充分结合了城市事故灾难的特点和我国安全监管的现状,可用以系统地找出城市不同管理层面的风险管控重点,有效推动城市安全风险差异化动态管理。

关键词: 城市安全, 风险评估, 事故灾难, 风险分级, 固有风险

Abstract: Basic principles and a procedure for assessing systematically and effectively urban safety risk were established in this paper. The basic principles include a grid principle, a classification principle and an inherent risk principle. The procedure consists of 6 steps such as identification of risks in ranges of activity, identification of risks at work posts, assessment of risks in ranges of activity, assessment of risks at work posts, superposition of risks, and identification of enterprises, industries and areas having a high risk. An empirical analysis demonstrated that the principles and the procedure can be used to get urban risk management priorities right, which would promote urban safety risk dynamic management.

Key words: urban safety, risk assessment, accident disasters, risk classification, inherent risk

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