中国安全科学学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (12): 78-84.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2019.12.013

• 安全工程技术科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

船舶港口引航风险致因人-组织因素影响分析

张欣欣1 讲师, 胡甚平1 教授, 陈渊2 高级引航员, 王明世2 工程师   

  1. 1 上海海事大学 商船学院,上海 201306;
    2 上海港引航站,上海 200080
  • 收稿日期:2019-09-15 修回日期:2019-11-25 出版日期:2019-12-28 发布日期:2020-11-24
  • 作者简介:张欣欣 (1986—),男,江苏南通人,博士研究生,讲师,主要从事海上交通工程、安全与可靠性、人因工程等方面的研究。E-mail:xxzhang@shmtu.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    上海高校中青年教师国外访学进修计划资助(FXHS19001)。

Impact analysis of human-organizational factors on pilotage risks at harbor

ZHANG Xinxin1, HU Shenping1, CHEN Yuan2, WANG Mingshi2   

  1. 1 Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306,China;
    2 Shanghai Pilot Station, Shanghai 200080,China
  • Received:2019-09-15 Revised:2019-11-25 Online:2019-12-28 Published:2020-11-24

摘要: 为研究船舶港口引航风险中的人-组织因素(HOF),根据引航作业的实际情况描述引航风险HOF,尝试将人的因素分析与分类系统(HFACS)融合到综合安全评估(FSA)框架,辨识引航作业风险,对其进行评估;并据此建立基于贝叶斯网络(BN)的某港船舶引航风险HOF耦合关联模型;结合某港引航站的历年案例数据,分析不同类别引航员的风险致因影响因素。结果表明:绝大多数引航安全事故由不安全的引航行为导致,超过3/5的事故与不安全行为的前提条件有关,约1/4的事故与不安全的监督有关系。

关键词: 船舶引航, 风险, 人-组织因素(HOF), 贝叶斯网络(BN), 人的因素分析与分类系统(HFACS)

Abstract: In order to study HOF in ship pilotage risk at harbor, HOFs were described according to actual conditions of pilotage operations, and HFACS was applied to formal safety assessment (FSA) to identify and assess risks in operations. Then a coupling model of HOFs for pilotage risks was established based on BN. Finally, risk causation factors of different piltos were analyzed based on database of a certain pilot station in years. The results show that almost all pilotage accidents are caused by unsafe pilotage behaviors, more than three-fifths of accidents are related to preconditions of unsafe pilotage behaviors, and about one-quarter of them are related to unsafe supervision.

Key words: ship pilotage, risk, human-organizational factor (HOF), Bayesian networks (BN), human factor analysis and classification system (HFACS)

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