China Safety Science Journal ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (11): 163-168.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.11.028

• Safety Social Engineering Work • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Studying relationship between safety inputs and safety performance of construction by agent-based model

FENG Lingxiang1, LIN Xinchao1, GU Yifan2, WANG Xinli1   

  1. 1 School of Management Science and Engineering,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300222, China
    2 School of Business,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300222, China
  • Received:2017-08-16 Revised:2017-10-11 Online:2017-11-20 Published:2020-10-21

Abstract: Based on the statistics from the field study of construction programs in Tianjin city and Zhejiang Province, the ABM was used to explore the approach to optimization of safety input scheme. In the Netlogo software environment, it ran with the Monte Carlo method for the sensibility ranking and finding the variation tendency of safety performance. The results show that when safety inputs and especially inputs of safety precaution increase, the majority of safety performance has a significant rise with a distinct marginal diminishing effect, that inputs of safety precaution obviously have synergy effects with safety equipment inputs and safety supervisors' salaries, that accident fatalities impose upper limits on the effect of safety equipment inputs, which indicates the existence of Pelzman effect, and that in most cases, there is an optimal value in total expense can reach an optimal value as the safety inputs increase.

Key words: safety input, safety performance, Netlogo, agent based model(ABM), Monte Carlo method

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