China Safety Science Journal ›› 2022, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (5): 147-154.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.05.0699
• Safety engineering technology • Previous Articles Next Articles
LIU Jiahao1,2(), YU Yang1,2,**(), ZHANG Zhenxing3, YU Jianxing1,2, WANG Weiwei3, FU Yiqin1,2
Received:
2021-04-12
Revised:
2022-02-18
Online:
2022-08-17
Published:
2022-11-28
Contact:
YU Yang
LIU Jiahao, YU Yang, ZHANG Zhenxing, YU Jianxing, WANG Weiwei, FU Yiqin. Risk assessment method of risers based on two-dimensional cloud model and BN[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2022, 32(5): 147-154.
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Tab.1
Event of non-bonded flexible risers
编号 | 中间事件 | 编号 | 中间事件 | 编号 | 中间事件 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
M1 | 非粘结柔性立管失效 | M6 | 扭转断裂 | M11 | 外保护套失效 |
M2 | 压溃 | M7 | 疲劳 | M12 | 钢丝骨架断裂 |
M3 | 破裂 | M8 | 压力超过安全范围 | M13 | 钢丝骨架径向屈曲或解锁 |
M4 | 拉伸断裂 | M9 | 腐蚀与高拉伸荷载联合作用 | M14 | 腐蚀疲劳 |
M5 | 压缩破坏 | M10 | 磨损与高拉伸荷载联合作用 | M15 | 铠装层磨损疲劳 |
编号 | 底事件 | 编号 | 底事件 | 编号 | 底事件 |
D1 | 制造缺陷 | D7 | 安装缺陷 | D13 | 立管发生扭转 |
D2 | 聚合物老化收缩产生椭圆度 | D8 | 管道外部磨损 | D14 | 扭转力与钢丝方向一致 |
D3 | 水深过大 | D9 | 通风系统失效 | D15 | 扭转力与钢丝方向相反 |
D4 | 材料强度不足 | D10 | 拉伸荷载过大 | D16 | 船舶运动 |
D5 | 腐蚀 | D11 | 外保护套屈曲抗力不足 | D17 | 波浪荷载 |
D6 | 侵蚀 | D12 | 抗拉装甲层受压刚度低 | D18 | 聚合物层疲劳 |
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