China Safety Science Journal ›› 2024, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 94-102.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.02.0946
• Safety social science and safety management • Previous Articles Next Articles
JIAO Yu1(), MA Yulei1, LI Xian1, MA Hongliang2, KANG Yutao1
Received:
2023-08-11
Revised:
2023-11-18
Online:
2024-02-28
Published:
2024-08-28
CLC Number:
JIAO Yu, MA Yulei, LI Xian, MA Hongliang, KANG Yutao. Analysis on characteristics and severity of major work safety accidents in China[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2024, 34(2): 94-102.
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URL: http://www.cssjj.com.cn/EN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.02.0946
Tab.2
Variable coding and frequency statistics
变量 类别 | 变量 | 变量分组 | 事故频数 (占比/%) | 变量 类别 | 变量 | 变量分组 | 事故频数 (占比/%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
事故 属性 | 行业 | 交通运输业=1* | 76(27.3) | 环境 条件 | 发生 日期 | 工作日=0* | 196(70.5) |
矿业=2 | 107(38.5) | 非工作日=1 | 82(29.5) | ||||
商贸制造业=3 | 23(8.3) | 季节 | 春秋冬=0* | 196(70.5) | |||
建筑业及其他=4 | 72(25.9) | 夏=1 | 82(29.5) | ||||
类型 | 车辆伤害=1* | 72(25.9) | 日照 条件 | 白天=0* | 187(67.3) | ||
火灾=2 | 23(8.3) | 夜晚=1 | 91(32.7) | ||||
爆炸=3 | 80(28.8) | 天气 | 晴=0* | 170(61.2) | |||
坍塌=4 | 23(8.3) | 恶劣天气=1 | 108(38.9) | ||||
中毒和窒息=5 | 28(10.1) | 平均温度 | 15.7(±10.7) | ||||
其他=6 | 52(18.7) | 事故 企业 | 经营 状态 | 正常=0* | 149(46.4) | ||
环境 条件 | 发生 地区 | 西南=1* | 42(15.1) | 非正常(违法/规、 停产/业)=1 | 129(53.6) | ||
西北=2 | 30(10.8) | ||||||
华中=3 | 55(20.0) | 员工 规模 | (0,100] =1* | 172(61.9) | |||
华南=4 | 18(6.5) | (100,999] =2 | 71(25.5) | ||||
华东=5 | 63(22.7) | [1 000,+∞) =3 | 35(12.6) | ||||
华北=6 | 37(13.3) | 成立时长(月) | 120.5(±89.0) | ||||
东北=7 | 33(11.9) |
Tab.3
Quantile regression fitting results
变量 | Q (0.25) | Q (0.50) | Q (0.75) | Q (0.90) | OLS | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
参数估 计值 | p | 参数估 计值 | p | 参数估 计值 | p | 参数估 计值 | p | 参数估 计值 | p | ||
常量 | 7.017 | <0.001** | 7.764 | <0.001** | 10.738 | <0.001** | 13.057 | <0.001** | 10.412 | <0.001** | |
事故类型 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
火灾 | -1.603 | 0.168 | 1.149 | 0.237 | -0.658 | 0.546 | -4.920 | 0.041* | -1.211 | 0.432 | |
爆炸 | -5.529 | <0.001** | -2.228 | 0.070 | -1.369 | 0.297 | -0.776 | 0.866 | -1.918 | 0.066 | |
坍塌 | -5.119 | <0.001** | -2.822 | 0.032* | -4.268 | 0.003** | -5.179 | 0.056 | -3.792 | 0.015** | |
中毒和窒息 | -7.279 | <0.001** | -6.648 | <0.001** | -5.224 | <0.001** | -7.874 | <0.001** | -6.638 | <0.001** | |
其他 | -6.380 | <0.001** | -5.595 | <0.001** | -5.584 | <0.001** | -5.514 | <0.001** | -5.790 | <0.001** | |
发生日期 | 2.109 | 0.003** | 2.583 | 0.002** | 2.473 | 0.001** | 3.960 | 0.008** | 2.749 | 0.001** | |
季节 | 1.719 | 0.029* | 2.074 | 0.047* | 2.374 | 0.019* | 3.963 | 0.125 | 2.989 | 0.006** | |
日照条件 | 1.159 | 0.053 | 1.547 | 0.071 | 4.396 | <0.001** | 4.317 | <0.001** | 2.565 | 0.002** | |
天气 | 1.167 | 0.020* | 0.792 | 0.312 | 0.265 | 0.719 | 0.630 | 0.633 | 1.168 | 0.144 | |
平均温度 | -0.085 | 0.001** | -0.055 | 0.183 | -0.047 | 0.230 | -0.103 | 0.228 | -0.063 | 0.181 | |
员工规模 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
(100,999] | 0.401 | 0.619 | 0.612 | 0.477 | -0.458 | 0.627 | -3.063 | 0.016** | 0.101 | 0.914 | |
[1000,+∞) | 2.027 | 0.140 | 1.766 | 0.138 | 1.457 | 0.314 | 1.953 | 0.371 | 1.378 | 0.278 | |
成立时长 | 0.007 | 0.036* | 0.009 | 0.034* | 0.006 | 0.230 | 0.010 | 0.112 | 0.007 | 0.130 |
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