韧性理论在安全科学领域中的应用

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.03.001

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为促进韧性理论在安全科学领域的研究与实践,在论述系统安全韧性理论研究价值的基础上,提炼系统安全韧性定义,构建并解析其概念框架;从定性与定量2方面分析系统安全韧性评估与塑造的研究现状,其中定性评估包括概念框架和半定量指标,定量评估包括基于面积的方法和基于系统安全状态的方法;最后探讨系统安全韧性研究中存在的一些问题并进行展望。结果表明,系统安全韧性研究具有重大理论与实践价值,但目前研究存在仅局限于单一技术物理系统等问题,在心理安全韧性与城市生命线安全韧性等方面亟需展开深入研究。

关键词: 韧性; 韧性理论; 安全韧性; 韧性评估; 韧性塑造

Abstract: In order to promote the research and practice of resilience theory in the field of safety science, the research value of system safety resilience was argued, then, the definition of system safety resilience was refined, and its concept frame was constructed. The research status of system safety resilience assessment was analyzed from qualitative and quantitative aspects,the qualitative assessment includes conceptual framework and semi-quantitative indicators, quantitative assessment includes methods which are based on area or system safety state. What' more, the research status of system safety resilience enhancement was analyzed. Finally, some of the problems existing in the researches on system safety resilience were discussed, and prospects were examined. The results show that system safety resilience research has a great theory and practice value, but there are some problems or erroneous tendencies in the current study, e.g., only limited to a single technical and physical system, and it is necessary to carry out in-depth study in the aspects of psychological safety resilience, urban life line safety resilience, etc.

Key words: resilience, resilience theory, safety resilience, resilience assessment, resilience enhancement

中图分类号:

黄浪, 吴超, 杨冕, 王秉. 韧性理论在安全科学领域中的应用[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2017, 27(3): 1-6.

HUANG Lang, WU Chao, YANG Mian, WANG Bing. Application of resilience theory in field of safety science[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2017, 27(3): 1-6.

参考文献

[1] UDAY P, MARAIS K B. Resilience-based system importance measures for system-of-systems[J]. Procedia Computer Science, 2014, 28: 257-264.
[2] LUNDBERG J, JOHANSSON B J. Systemic resilience model[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 22-32.
[3] DESSAVRE D G, RAMIREZ J E, BARKER K. Multidimensional approach to complex system resilience analysis[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2016, 149: 34-43.
[4] BERGSTROM J, WINSEN R V, HENRIQSON E. On the rationale of resilience in the domain of safety: a literature review[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 131-141.
[5] HOPKINS A. Issues in safety science[J]. Safety Science, 2014, 67(8): 6-14.
[6] HOLLNAGEL E, WOODS D. Epilogue: Resilience engineering-concepts and precepts [M]. Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing, 2006: 347-58.
[7] COSTELLA M F, SAURIN T A, GUIMARAES L. A method for assessing health and safety management systems from the resilience engineering perspective [J]. Safety Science, 2009, 47(8): 1 056-1 067.
[8] SAURIN T A, JUNIOR G C. Evaluation and improvement of a method for assessing HSMS from the resilience engineering perspective: a case study of an electricity distributor[J]. Safety Science, 2011, 49(2): 355-368.
[9] STEEN R, AVEN T. A risk perspective suitable for resilience engineering [J]. Safety Science, 2011, 49(2): 292-297.
[10] RIGHI A W, SAURIN T A, WACHS P. A systematic literature review of resilience engineering: research areas and a research agenda proposal [J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 142-152.
[11] 范维澄. 构建智慧韧性城市的思考与建议[J]. 中国建设信息化, 2015(21): 20-21.
FAN Weicheng.Reflections and suggestions of construction of wisdom and resilience city[J]. China Construction Information, 2015(21): 20-21.
[12] GALLOPIN G C. Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2006, 16(3): 293-303.
[13] SMIT B, BURTON I, KLEIN R J T, et al. The science of adaptation: a framework for assessment [J]. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 1999, 4(3/4): 199-213.
[14] PETTERSEN K, SCHULMAN P. Drift, adaptation, resilience and reliability: toward an empirical clarification [J]. Safety Science, 2016, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2016.03.004.
[15] LUNDBERG J, JOHANSSON B. Resilience, stability and requisite interpretation in accident investigations [J]. Nature, 2006, 78(2022): 306-307.
[16] HOLLING C S. Resilience and stability of ecological systems[J]. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 1973, 4(2): 1-23.
[17] HOSSEINI S, BARKER K, RAMIREZ J E. A review of definitions and measures of system resilience [J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 145: 47-61.
[18] SHARIFI A. A critical review of selected tools for assessing community resilience[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2016, 69(1): 629-647.
[19] MACASKILL K, GUTHRIE P. Multiple interpretations of resilience in disaster risk management[J]. Procedia Economics and Finance, 2014, 18: 667-674.
[20] SPERANZA C I, WIESMANN U, RIST S. An indicator framework for assessing livelihood resilience in the context of social-ecological dynamics [J]. Global Environmental Change, 2014, 28(1): 109-119.
[21] HOSSEINI S, BARKER K, RAMIREZ J E. A review of definitions and measures of system resilience[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 145: 47-61.
[22] VUGRIN E D, WARREN D E, EHLEN M A. A resilience assessment framework for infrastructure and economic systems: quantitative and qualitative resilience analysis of petrochemical supply chains to a hurricane [J]. Process Safety Progress, 2011, 30(3):280-290.
[23] BRUNEAU M, CHANG S E, EGUCHI R T, et al. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities[J]. Earthquake Spectra, 2003, 19(4): 733-752.
[24] WOODS D. Four concepts for resilience and the implications for the future of resilience engineering[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 5-9.
[25] LABAKA L, HERNANTES J, SARRIEGI J M. Resilience framework for critical infrastructures: an empirical study in a nuclear plant[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 92-105.
[26] ResilienceAlliance. Key Concepts[EB/OL].[2016-08-10]. http://www.resalliance.org/key-concepts, 2012-01-23/2016-05-04.
[27] KAHAN J, ALLEN A, GEORGE J. An operational framework for resilience[J]. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 2009, 6(1): 11-20.
[28] SHARIFI A, YAMAGATA Y. A conceptual framework for assessment of urban energy resilience[J]. Energy Procedia, 2015, 75: 2 904-2 909.
[29] AINUDDIN S, ROUTRAY J K. Community resilience framework for an earthquake prone area in Baluchistan[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2012, 2: 25-36.
[30] PROAG V. Assessing and measuring resilience[J]. Procedia Economics and Finance, 2014, 18: 22-229.
[31] CUTTER S L, BARNES L, BERRY M, et al. A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2008, 18(4): 598-606.
[32] SHIRALI G A, MOHAMMADFAM I, EBRAHIMIPOUR V. A new method for quantitative assessment of resilience engineering by PCA and NT approach: a case study in a process industry[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2013, 119:88-94.
[33] JOERIN J, SHAW R, TAKEUCHI Y, et al. Assessing community resilience to climate-related disasters in Chennai, India[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2012, 1(1): 44-54.
[34] CIMELLARO G P, REINHORN A M, BRUNEAU M. Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience[J]. Engineering Structures, 2010, 32(11): 3 639-3 649.
[35] HENRY D, RAMIREZ J E. Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2012, 99: 114-122.
[36] OUYANG M, DUENAS L. Time-dependent resilience assessment and improvement of urban infrastructure systems[J]. Chaos, 2012, 22(3): 261-271.
[37] ZOBEL C W, KHANSA L. Characterizing multi-event disaster resilience[J]. Computers and Operations Research, 2014, 42(2): 83-94.
[38] OEDEWALD P, GOTCHEVA N. Safety culture and subcontractor network governance in a complex safety critical project[J]. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2015, 141: 106-114.
[39] SHIRALI G H A, MOTAMEDZADE M, MOHAMMADFAM I, et al. Challenges in building resilience engineering (RE) and adaptive capacity: a field study in a chemical plant [J]. Process Safety & Environmental Protection, 2011, 90(2): 83-90.
[40] BRUYELLE J L, NEILL C, KOURSI E M, et al. Improving the resilience of metro vehicle and passengers for an effective emergency response to terrorist attacks[J]. Safety Science, 2014, 62: 37-45.
[41] STERBENZ J P G, CETINKAYA E K, HAMEED M A, et al. Modelling and analysis of network resilience[C].International Conference on Communication Systems and Networks, 2011: 1-10.
[42] DINH L, PASMAN H, GAO X, et al. Resilience engineering of industrial processes: principles and contributing factors[J]. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2012, 25(2): 233-241.
[43] OUYANG M, DUENAS L, XING M. A three-stage resilience analysis framework for urban infrastructure systems[J]. Structural Safety, 2012, 36(2): 23-31.