中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (12): 110-115.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.12.019

• 安全工程技术科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于熵权可拓理论的管道坡面水毁危险性评价

章清1, 王生新**1,2 研究员, 汪鹏飞3, 徐震3   

  1. 1兰州大学 西部灾害与环境力学教育部重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 730000
    2甘肃省科学院 地质自然灾害防治研究所,甘肃 兰州 730000
    3中国石油西部管道公司,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830013
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-17 修回日期:2017-11-02 出版日期:2017-12-28 发布日期:2020-10-10
  • 通讯作者: ** 王生新(1966—),男,甘肃靖远人,博士,研究员,主要从事地质灾害防治研究。E-mail: wsx5003@163.com。
  • 作者简介:章 清 (1993—),男,江西南昌人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为地质灾害防治。E-mail: qzhang15@lzu.edu.cn。

Assessment of risk of flood damage at slope of pipeline based on combination of entropy method and extension theory

ZHANG Qing1, WANG Shengxin1,2, WANG Pengfei3, XU Zhen3   

  1. 1Key Laboratory of Mechanics on Western Disaster and Environment Mechanics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou Gansu 730000,China
    2Geological Hazards Research and Prevention Institute, Gansu Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000,China 3 Petrochina West Pipeline Company, Wulumuqi Xinjiang 830013,China
  • Received:2017-09-17 Revised:2017-11-02 Online:2017-12-28 Published:2020-10-10

摘要: 为预防油气管道运营过程中发生坡面水毁地质灾害,对油气管道进行坡面水毁危险性评价是必要的。依据可拓理论建立坡面水毁危险性评价物元模型,计算出各评价指标关联函数,采用熵权法对各评价指标进行赋权,最后得出危险等级。选取河西走廊高台地区的11条坡面冲沟作为评价对象,将该方法评价结果与管道公司软件评价结果进行对比。结果表明:就高台地区11条坡面冲沟危险性而言,基于熵权法与可拓理论相结合得到的管道坡面水毁危险性评价结果与用管道公司的软件得到的评价结果相吻合。

关键词: 管道, 坡面水毁, 危险性评价, 可拓理论, 熵权法

Abstract: In order to prevent flood damage at slope of oil and gas pipelines, it's essential to assess the risk of flood damage. A matter-element model was built for assessing the risk by the extension theory. Correlation functions were calculated for the evaluation indexes. By using the entropy method, values of weight were assigned to the evaluation indexes. So the level of risk was assessed. Then eleven slope gullies located at Gansu Corridor Gaotai were selected as evaluation objects. A comparison was made between the evaluation results calculated by this method and those calculated by using the software of the pipeline companies. The results indicate that the evaluation results obtained by using the extension theory based on the entropy method conform with those obtained by using the software for those eleven slope gullies.

Key words: pipeline, flood damage at slope, assessment of risk, extension theory, entropy method

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