基于GRA-SPA耦合模型的煤矿充填系统稳定性评判

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.04.017

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (4): 97-102.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.04.017

基于GRA-SPA耦合模型的煤矿充填系统稳定性评判

史俊伟^1,2 讲师, 陈章良¹ 副教授, 吴昌友¹ 副教授, 沈盈盈³

1 山东工商学院管理科学与工程学院,山东烟台 264005
2 安徽理工大学能源与安全学院, 安徽淮南 232001
3 南京航空航天大学民航学院,江苏南京 211106

收稿日期:2018-01-21 修回日期:2018-03-27 出版日期:2018-04-28
作者简介:史俊伟(1987—),男,山西平遥人,博士研究生,讲师,主要从事灾害预防与控制、风险评估与防范等方面的研究。E-mail:542670686@qq.com。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(41601593)。

Evaluation of stability of filling system based on GRA-SPA coupling model

SHI Junwei^1,2, CHEN Zhangliang¹, WU Changyou¹, SHEN Yingying³

1 School of Management Science and Engineering, Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai Shandong 264005, China
2 School of Energy and Safety, Anhui University of Technology, Huainan Anhui 232001, China
3 School of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing Jiangsu 211106, China

Received:2018-01-21 Revised:2018-03-27 Published:2018-04-28

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为预防煤矿充填系统运行安全事故,综合运用灰色关联分析法(GRA)和集对分析法(SPA),研究煤矿充填系统稳定性。首先,建立充填系统稳定性评判指标体系,并采用AHP法确定各指标权重;然后,构建GRA-SPA耦合评判模型,通过将评价集与指标集建立集对、计算其绝对关联度及综合联系度来确定评价对象等级,并预测其发展趋势;最后,以某矿充填系统为例,用所建模型评判其稳定性。结果表明:该矿充填系统稳定性等级为较稳定,且有向好的方向发展的趋势,但不明显,仍需引起重视。该模型能够将充填系统各指标因子的同一性、差异性和对立性通过联系度系数定量化,得到与实际情况相一致的评判结论,为煤矿充填开采安全管理提供参考。

关键词: 煤矿, 充填开采, 充填系统, 灰色关联(GRA), 集对分析(SPA), 稳定性评判

Abstract: In order to prevent accidents in filling systems of coal mines, the stability of a filling system was studied using the theory of set pair analysis and the grey relational analysis. Firstly, a stability evaluation index system was constructed for the filling system, and the weight of each indicator was determined by the method of AHP. Secondly, a GRA-SPA coupling model was built. The stability level of the filling system was determined, and the trend in its development was forecasted. Then, the countermeasures for improving the stability of the filling system were proposed. The results show that the filling system is "relatively stable", and there is a weak tendency to be "stable", so the monitoring of the filling system should still be strengthened, that the model not only can quantify the identity, difference and opposition of the index factors by the linkage coefficient, but also can get the evaluation conclusion consistent with the actual situation, and that this method can provide a reference for safety management of filling system.

Key words: coal mine, filling and mining, filling system, grey relational analysis(GRA), set pair analysis(SPA), stability evaluation

中图分类号:

X936

史俊伟, 陈章良, 吴昌友, 沈盈盈. 基于GRA-SPA耦合模型的煤矿充填系统稳定性评判[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2018, 28(4): 97-102.

SHI Junwei, CHEN Zhangliang, WU Changyou, SHEN Yingying. Evaluation of stability of filling system based on GRA-SPA coupling model[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2018, 28(4): 97-102.

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基于GRA-SPA耦合模型的煤矿充填系统稳定性评判

Evaluation of stability of filling system based on GRA-SPA coupling model

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