高速铁路列车运行晚点特征分析*

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.S2.017

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (S2): 93-98.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.S2.017

高速铁路列车运行晚点特征分析^*

孟子悦¹, 左忠义¹ 教授, 尹盼盼², 赵天宇³, 郭润航³

1 大连交通大学交通运输工程学院,辽宁大连 116028;
2 国家铁路局运输监督管理司,北京 100891;
3 北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京 100044

收稿日期:2018-09-29 修回日期:2018-11-25 出版日期:2018-12-30 发布日期:2020-11-11
作者简介:孟子悦 (1995—),女,辽宁阜新人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为交通运输规划与管理。E-mail: 13251169@bjtu.edu.cn。
基金资助:
辽宁省教育厅科研项目(JDL2017034); 辽宁省轨道交通装备技术项目(2018yb016)。

Late feature analysis of high-speed train operation

MENG Ziyue¹, ZUO Zhongyi¹, YIN Panpan², ZHAO Tianyu³, GUO Runhang³

1 School of Traffic and Transportation EngineeringDalian Jiaotong University, DalianLiaoning 116028, China;
2 Center of Market Monitoring and EvaluationNational Railway Administration, Beijing100036, China;
3 School of TransportationBeijing Jiao tong University, Beijing 100044, China

Received:2018-09-29 Revised:2018-11-25 Online:2018-12-30 Published:2020-11-11

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为提高高速铁路列车准点率,降低高速铁路列车晚点带来的安全隐患,探究高速铁路列车晚点规律,以国内某地区高速铁路沿线4个调度台的列车运行实绩数据为基础,分析其晚点水平、晚点时分分布、增晚分布等晚点指标频率;应用统计学方法—皮尔逊相关系数法和R语言编程工具,探究晚点指标的相关性,得出该高速铁路列车晚点特点及规律。结果表明:上述方法可以得出高速铁路列车晚点规律,在实际工作中可用于降低晚点率,消除安全隐患。

关键词: 高速铁路, 列车准点率, 实绩数据, 皮尔逊相关系数, 晚点规律

Abstract: In order to improve its on-time rate and reduce the security threats the high-speed train lateness poses,the lateness regularity of high-speed trains was explored. Based on the train operation data of four dispatching stations along the high-speed railway in a certain region of China, the frequency of its late indicators was analyzed,such as late level, late time distribution and increase-late distribution. Statistical methods-Pearson correlation coefficient and R language programming tool wereappliedto explore the correlation of its late index, and obtain the late characteristics and regularity of the high-speed train. The results show that the above method can be applied to obtainingthe late regularity of high-speed railway so as toreduce its lateness rate and safety hazards in actual traffic control work.

Key words: high-speed railway, train punctuality rate, performance data, Pearson correlation coefficient, late regular

中图分类号:

X951

孟子悦, 左忠义, 尹盼盼, 赵天宇, 郭润航. 高速铁路列车运行晚点特征分析^*[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2018, 28(S2): 93-98.

MENG Ziyue, ZUO Zhongyi, YIN Panpan, ZHAO Tianyu, GUO Runhang. Late feature analysis of high-speed train operation[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2018, 28(S2): 93-98.

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高速铁路列车运行晚点特征分析^*

Late feature analysis of high-speed train operation

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