大倾角工作面煤壁稳定性的云模型综合辨识

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.03.020

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 144-151.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.03.020

大倾角工作面煤壁稳定性的云模型综合辨识

熊钰¹(), 孔德中¹^,^**(), 杨胜利², 吴桂义¹, 左宇军¹, 程占博³

¹贵州大学矿业学院,贵州贵阳 550025
²中国矿业大学(北京) 能源与矿业学院,北京 100083
³华威大学工程学院,英国考文垂 CV47AL

收稿日期:2021-12-11 修回日期:2022-02-15 出版日期:2022-08-23
通讯作者:
**孔德中(1988—),男,河南永城人,博士,教授,主要从事煤矿开采围岩稳定性控制方面的研究。E-mail: dzkong@gzu.edu.cn。

作者简介:

熊钰 (1996—),男,陕西商洛人,硕士研究生,研究方向为大倾角煤层开采煤壁稳定性分析及安全评价。E-mail: 744561259@qq.com。
孔德中教授, 杨胜利教授, 吴桂义副教授, 左宇军教授,

基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(51904082); 国家自然科学基金资助(52064005); 国家自然科学基金资助(52164002); 国家自然科学基金资助(52164005); 贵州省科技计划项目(黔科合基础[2020]1Y214); 贵州省科技计划项目(黔科合支撑[2021]一般339)

Cloud model identification of coal face stability in steeply inclined working faces

XIONG Yu¹(), KONG Dezhong¹^,^**(), YANG Shengli², WU Guiyi¹, ZUO Yujun¹, CHENG Zhanbo³

¹Mining College of Guizhou University, Guiyang Guizhou 550025, China
²School of Energy and Mining Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China
³School of Engineering, University of Warwick, Coventry CV47AL, UK

Received:2021-12-11 Revised:2022-02-15 Published:2022-08-23

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为保障大倾角工作面安全高效开采,基于层次分析法(AHP),建立带量化等级区间的大倾角煤壁稳定性评价指标体系;构建基于云理论的煤壁稳定性标准云模型;以3402大倾角工作面为例,生成煤壁稳定性评价云图,通过Dice系数计算评价云图与标准云模型各等级的相似度,辨识煤壁稳定性,验证该模型的科学性和有效性。结果表明:影响大倾角煤层煤壁稳定性的因素主要有一般倾角煤层的煤壁处顶板压力、煤体黏聚力和煤层采高,以及煤层倾角、工作面伪仰斜角等;经云模型辨识,3402工作面煤壁稳定性总指标评价云图与各标准等级相似度分别为0、0.345 3、0.787 2及0,该工作面煤壁稳定性处于Ⅲ级,呈不稳定状态,该结果与现场实际情况基本一致,证明文中所建模型具有一定的科学性和有效性。

关键词: 大倾角工作面, 煤壁稳定性, 云模型, 层次分析法(AHP), 综合评价

Abstract:

In order to ensure safe and efficient mining on steeply inclined working faces, a stability evaluation index system of steeply inclined coal faces was constructed with quantified grade intervals on the basis of AHP method. Then, a standard stability cloud model based on cloud theory was established. With working face 3402 as an example, its coal face stability evaluation cloud image was generated, and similarity between this image and grades of cloud model was calculated through Dice coefficient to effectively identify stability and verify scientificity and validity of the model. The results show that the main influencing factors of coal face stability in steeply inclined seams are roof pressure at the face of mildly inclined ones, coal body cohesion and mining height, as well as inclination angle of coal seam and pseudo-inclination angle of working face. According to cloud model's identification, similarity between evaluation cloud image and standard grades for general stability indexes of 3402 working face is 0, 0.345 3, 0.787 2 and 0 respectively. It can be concluded that its stability is at level III, an unstable state, which is basically consistent with actual situation, demonstrating that the proposed model is scientific and effective to some extent.

Key words: steeply inclined working face, coal face stability, cloud model, analytical hierarchy process(AHP), comprehensive evaluation

熊钰, 孔德中, 杨胜利, 吴桂义, 左宇军, 程占博. 大倾角工作面煤壁稳定性的云模型综合辨识[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2022, 32(3): 144-151.

XIONG Yu, KONG Dezhong, YANG Shengli, WU Guiyi, ZUO Yujun, CHENG Zhanbo. Cloud model identification of coal face stability in steeply inclined working faces[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2022, 32(3): 144-151.

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参考文献 20

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评价指标	评价等级
评价指标	I级	Ⅱ级	Ⅲ级	IV级
C₁	0.6~0.8	0.8~0.9	0.9~1	1~1.2
C₂/%	80~100	60~80	40~60	<40
C₃/%	80~100	60~80	40~60	<40
C₄/MPa	>1.5	1~1.5	0.5~1	<0.5
C₅/(°)	>35	30~35	25~30	<25
C₆(0~100)	0~20	20~40	40~60	60~100
C₇(0~100)	0~20	20~40	40~60	60~100
C₈/m	0.7~2	2~3.5	3.5~5	>5
C₉/(°)	0~20	20~35	35~45	45~55
C₁₀/(°)	3.5~5	5~6.5	6.5~8	>8
C₁₁/%	85~100	65~85	40~65	<40

判断矩阵	特征向量U_j	指标权重ω_j	一致性比率CR	一致性检验
M_A	(0.368 51, 0.341 74, 0.289 75)	0.368 5, 0.341 7, 0.289 8	0.002 913	通过
M_B1	(0.558 42, 0.319 62, 0.121 96)	0.558 4, 0.319 6, 0.122 0	0.015 771	通过
M_B2	(0.389 4, 0.377 44, 0.131 1, 0.102 06)	0.389 4, 0.377 4, 0.131 1, 0.102 1	0.030 33	通过
M_B3	(0.476 85, 0.269 65, 0.173 99, 0.079 511)	0.476 9, 0.269 6, 0.174 0, 0.079 5	0.021 975	通过

评价指标		评价标准等级
评价指标		Ⅰ级	Ⅱ级	Ⅲ级	Ⅳ级
一级指标	B₁	(0.136 3,0.045 3,0.05)	(0.364 2,0.030 2,0.05)	(0.547 5,0.030 2,0.05)	(0.819 5,0.060 3,0.05)
	B₂	(0.119 2,0.039 9,0.05)	(0.357 5,0.039 9,0.05)	(0.595 8,0.039 9,0.05)	(0.857 5,0.047 8,0.05)
	B₃	(0.124 6,0.041 5,0.05)	(0.369 7,0.040 0,0.05)	(0.601 7,0.037 1,0.05)	(0.853 9,0.047 7,0.05)
总指标		(0.127 1,0.042 4,0.05)	(0.363 5,0.036 4,0.05)	(0.579 7,0.035 5,0.05)	(0.842 5,0.052 4,0.05)

二级指标	评价指标值		E_x	E_n	H_e
二级指标	最大	最小	E_x	E_n	H_e
C₁	0.97	0.71	0.401 5	0.073	0.1
C₂	81	71.5	0.237 5	0.015 8	0.12
C₃	90	75	0.175	0.025	0.12
C₄	0.6	0.34	0.765	0.021 7	0.09
C₅	22	20	0.95	0.016 7	0.09
C₆	70	55	0.625	0.15	0.13
C₇	65	45	0.55	0.033	0.12
C₈	3.9	2.3	0.38	0.043 3	0.09
C₉	50	23	0.7	0.07	0.09
C₁₀	7	5	0.385	0.051 7	0.09
C₁₁	70	45	0.575	0.041 7	0.14

一级评价指标	E_x	E_n	H_e
B₁	0.321 5	0.048 9	0.108 8
B₂	0.794 5	0.037 8	0.098 3
B₃	0.473 2	0.055 0	0.094 0

大倾角工作面煤壁稳定性的云模型综合辨识

Cloud model identification of coal face stability in steeply inclined working faces

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