中国安全科学学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (S1): 180-184.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2023.S1.0374

• 安全工程技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

深部矿山锚杆腐蚀失效风险评估研究

吴赛赛1,2(), 张曾瑞1, 金韬1, 张鑫1, 郭进平1,2   

  1. 1 西安建筑科技大学 资源工程学院, 陕西 西安 710054
    2 陕西省岩土与地下空间工程重点实验室, 陕西 西安 710054
  • 收稿日期:2023-01-28 修回日期:2023-04-17 出版日期:2023-06-30
  • 作者简介:

    吴赛赛 (1991—),男,河南省周口市人,副教授,博士,硕士生导师,主要从事多场耦合下材料腐蚀损伤断裂研究工作。E-mail:

  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学金资助(52004196); 陕西省重点研发计划项目(2023-GHYB-06); 陕西省“三秦学者”创新团队、陕西省科技创新团队项目(2022TD-05)

Investigation into risk assessment of bolt corrosion failure in deep mines

WU Saisai1,2(), ZHANG Zengrui1, JIN Tao1, ZHANG Xin1, GUO Jinping1,2   

  1. 1 School of Resources Engineering, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China
    2 Shanxi Key Laboratory of Geotechnical and Underground Space Engineering, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China
  • Received:2023-01-28 Revised:2023-04-17 Published:2023-06-30

摘要:

为解决地下矿山锚杆腐蚀失效问题,提出一种基于预测锚杆腐蚀失效速率的数学模型。收集矿山腐蚀失效锚杆相关数据,采用主成分分析法和梯度提升树方法,从原始数据中提取有用信息,并结合支持向量机(SVM)模型,预测复杂矿山环境中锚杆的腐蚀失效概率,利用具有连续特征和空间数据的数据集测试该模型,分析各环境因素对腐蚀失效影响权重,并与SVM、GTB-SVM这2种模型进行对比分析。研究结果表明:基于主成分分析的特征变换是可靠的风险预测方法,PCA-SVM模型在预测精度和结果的稳健性方面表现优越,训练集AUC值达到0.84、测试集达到0.83。该模型作为一个有用的在线工具,能够支持过程系统的安全和数字化。文中提出的主成分分析SVM模型,能够准确预测锚杆腐蚀失效的腐蚀概率。

关键词: 深部矿山, 锚杆, 应力腐蚀开裂, 支持向量机(SVM), 特征学习

Abstract:

In order to solve the bolt corrosion failure in underground mines, a mathematical model based on predicting the bolt corrosion failure rate was proposed. By collecting the relevant data of mine corrosion failure bolts, the principal component analysis (PCA) method and gradient boosting tree (GTB) method were used to extract useful information from the original data. Combined with the SVM model, the corrosion failure probability of bolts in complex mine environments was predicted, and the model was tested by using datasets with continuous features and spatial data. The impact weight of various environmental factors on corrosion failure was analyzed and compared with SVM and GTB-SVM models. The research results indicate that feature transformation based on PCA is a reliable risk prediction method. The PCA-SVM model performs superior in terms of prediction accuracy and robustness of results, with AUC values reaching 0.84 in the training set and 0.83 in the test set. This model will serve as a useful online tool to support the security and digitization of process systems. The PCA-SVM model proposed in the article can accurately predict the corrosion failure probability of bolts.

Key words: deep mines, bolts, stress corrosion cracking, support vector machines (SVM), feature learning