基于风险量化评价的冶金企业安全生产综合防控体系

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2025.S1.0004

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为提升金属冶炼企业安全生产管理水平,构建基于风险量化评价的冶金企业安全生产综合防控体系,从人员、设备、物料、环境和管理5要素出发,结合安全生产标准化要求,设计集现场管控、风险查管、体系运管、安全监管四维防控机制,并开发安全生产综合防控系统。另外,基于影响现场风险态势变化的因素,构建安全风险评估模型,结合系统监测的各类准静态和非结构化的多源异构数据,实现企业安全风险的动态量化评价。结果表明:根据四维防控机制设计开发的安全生产综合防控系统,能有效保障企业安全生产标准化合规运行;根据生产安全风险综合评判模型及系统监测的多源异构数据,可实时量化计算企业安全指数,指数越高证明网格点安全状态越好,反之则安全状态越差。这种方法依赖于系统监测的各类实时的多源异构数,能实时、客观、全面且准确地反映企业的安全状态。

关键词: 风险量化评价, 冶金企业, 安全生产综合防控, 安全风险, 现场管控

Abstract:

To enhance the work safety management level of metallurgical enterprises, a comprehensive prevention and control system for safety production in metallurgical enterprises based on risk quantitative evaluation is constructed. Based on five key elements, namely personnel, equipment, materials, environment, and management and work safety standardization requirements, a four-dimensional prevention and control mechanism was designed, integrating on-site control, risk inspection and control, system operation management, and safety supervision. Additionally, a safety risk assessment model was established by considering factors influencing on-site risk dynamics. By incorporating multi-source heterogeneous data (both quasi-static and unstructured) monitored by the system, a dynamic quantitative risk assessment of enterprises was achieved. The results demonstrate that the developed comprehensive prevention and control system for work safety based on the four-dimensional prevention and control mechanism effectively ensures compliance of enterprises with work safety standardization. Furthermore, the comprehensive work safety risk assessment model and multi-source heterogeneous data monitored by the system enable real-time quantitative calculation of enterprise safety indices. A higher index indicates better safety conditions at grid points, while a lower index reflects poorer safety status. This method relies on real-time and multi-source heterogeneous data monitoring, providing an objective, comprehensive, and accurate reflection of enterprise safety status.

Key words: quantitative risk assessment, metallurgical enterprise, comprehensive prevention and control of work safety, safety risk, on-site control

中图分类号:

X938

廖光东, 于世雷. 基于风险量化评价的冶金企业安全生产综合防控体系[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2025, 35(S1): 21-28.

LIAO Guangdong, YU Shilei. Comprehensive prevention and control system for work safety in metallurgical enterprises based on risk quantitative evaluation[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2025, 35(S1): 21-28.

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比较准则	被比较准则	比值
管控措施未落实	风险未按期管控	2
管控措施未落实	存在未闭合隐患	1/4
管控措施未落实	隐患超期未整改	1/7
管控措施未落实	隐患整改不合格	1/9
管控措施未落实	“三违”未处置	1/3
风险未按期管控	存在未闭合隐患	1/3
风险未按期管控	隐患超期未整改	1/5
风险未按期管控	隐患整改不合格	1/8
风险未按期管控	“三违”未处置	1/2
存在未闭合隐患	隐患超期未整改	1/3
存在未闭合隐患	隐患整改不合格	1/5
存在未闭合隐患	“三违”未处置	1/2
隐患超期未整改	隐患整改不合格	1/2
隐患超期未整改	“三违”未处置	2
隐患整改不合格	“三违”未处置	3

评价指标	措施未落实	未按期管控	未闭合隐患	超期未整改	整改不合格	“三违”未处置		权重
措施未落实	1	2	1/4	1/7	1/9	1/3		0.043 9
未按期管控	1/2	1	1/3	1/5	1/8	1/2		0.042 2
未闭合隐患	4	3	1	1/3	1/5	1/2		0.101 3
超期未整改	7	5	3	1	1/2	2		0.256 2
整改不合格	9	8	5	2	1	3		0.424 1
“三违”未处置	3	2	2	1/2	1/3	1		0.132 4
合计							1.000 1
不一致系数							0.038 29

评价指标	等级	等级扣分值对应关系	扣分值
风险管控措施未落实	低风险	↔	0.5
	一般风险	↔	1
	较大风险/ 重大风险	↔	3
风险未按期检查	低风险	↔	1
	一般风险	↔	2
	较大风险/ 重大风险	↔	5
存在未闭合隐患	一般隐患	↔	5
存在未闭合隐患	重大隐患	↔	70
隐患超期未整改	一般隐患	↔	10
隐患超期未整改	重大隐患	↔	90
隐患整改不合格	一般隐患	↔	20
隐患整改不合格	重大隐患	↔	100
“三违” 未处置	一般“三违”	↔	5
	较重“三违”	↔	20
	严重“三违”	↔	50
报警数据	一票否决,出现报警数据时,评分直接为0分