China Safety Science Journal ›› 2022, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (S1): 134-139.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.S1.0001
• Safety engineering technology • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2022-01-09
Revised:
2022-04-16
Online:
2022-06-30
Published:
2022-12-30
WANG Liang. Research on railway transportation accidents warning based on Bayesian network[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2022, 32(S1): 134-139.
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URL: http://www.cssjj.com.cn/EN/10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.S1.0001
Tab.1
Shunting accidents point
项点序号 | 违章代码 | 事故项点 |
---|---|---|
X1 | 4 | 未按规定编制、传达调车作业计划 |
X2 | 5 | 简化调车作业联控用语(不影响联控效果) |
X3 | 7 | 未执行调车联控呼唤应答制度 |
X4 | 10 | 未得到自轮运转设备越过分路不良区段道岔的汇报 |
X5 | 14 | 非集中区不执行要道还道制度 |
X6 | 15 | 压返:现场调车作业中压信号原路返回前端进路无人确认 |
压返:室内不接通光带或通过道岔位置显示确认进路 | ||
X7 | 16 | 排列调车进路的人员,未按规定做到调车计划单“干一钩划一钩”的规定 |
X8 | 17 | 2台调车机均在同一区域同时作业,违反相关规定 |
X9 | 18 | 调车车列越过分路不良区段道岔后,调车人员未按要求汇报 |
X10 | 25 | 作业前出务检查停留车、线路等不彻底或检查后未进行汇报 |
X11 | 36 | 企业自备机车进入站内作业,联系不到位 |
X12 | 39 | 作业前未按规定提前出务检查停留车、线路等 |
X13 | 95 | 未按规定办理越区作业(含联系、签认、封锁股道不到位或越过停车相对方向同时调车作业等) |
X14 | 96 | 不按规定加锁道岔 |
X15 | 97 | 推进调车不领车 |
X16 | 103 | 站线、岔线发生变化后没有及时修改现车系统,造成编制的调车作业计划相关作业线路名称和状态与实际不符 |
X17 | 110 | 调车作业跟车不到位或站位不当 |
X18 | 112 | 调车作业未按规定显示信令(信号) |
X19 | 118 | 调车作业前无线调车灯显设备试机不彻底,包括信令不全、人员不全、未校对机控器时间等 |
X20 | 121 | 未按规定变更调车作业计划 |
X21 | 126 | 简化调车作业联控用语 |
X22 | 131 | 推进连挂不显示“十、五、三”车距离信号或显示“十、五、三”车距离信号后司机不回示,未采取停车措施 |
X23 | 137 | 连挂车辆显示“十、五、三”车距离信号不准 |
X24 | 142 | 调车作业人员不在同一侧作业 |
X25 | 147 | 压返:现场调车作业中压信号原路返回前端进路无人确认;室内不接通光带或通过道岔位置显示确认进路 |
X26 | 148 | 违规手动干预驼峰溜放作业 |
X27 | 149 | 驼峰作业员(驼峰信号员)驼峰溜放作业时未认真盯控 |
项点序号 | 违章代码 | 事故项点 |
X28 | 150 | 调车作业人员未掌握调车作业具体内容;调车作业分工不合理 |
X29 | 151 | 未按规定编制、传达调车作业计划;中间站利用本务机作业,未使用有示意图的调车作业通知单 |
X30 | 153 | 调车作业通知单上安全注意事项缺项严重或无针对性 |
X31 | 157 | 以通话方式调车作业,不连接平调接口 |
X32 | 158 | 未严格落实执行调车推送作业“四必须”制度 |
X33 | 161 | 编区站调车作业时未按规定接连风管 |
X34 | 162 | 调车人员不足2人进行调车作业 |
X35 | 163 | 调车长遥控指挥 |
X36 | 165 | 防溜脱轨器未按规定进行检查、确认 |
X37 | 172 | 在正线、到发线进行的原进路返回作业、分路不良区段作业不单独锁闭道岔 |
X38 | 173 | 未按规定进行压返作业 |
X39 | 174 | 排风作业未做到风净闸松 |
X40 | 175 | 违反禁止溜放条件进行溜放调车作 |
X41 | 176 | 驼峰溜放作业时,因责任原因造成车辆途停 |
X42 | 192 | 室内现车占线板、调车组交接班簿内未标明防溜器具的位置、数量、编号,标明内容未与现场一致;保留新型客车体人力制动机制动,现车揭示板不标注拧动圈数 |
X43 | 195 | 未按站段规定进行防溜采取及撤除汇报联控 |
X44 | 201 | 成组停留车组,中部防溜措施撤出不及时 |
X45 | 207 | 挂车时车辆未连挂妥就撤除防溜措施 |
X46 | — | 调车脱轨 |
X47 | — | 挤道岔 |
X48 | — | 调车冲突 |
X49 | — | 调车作业碰轧脱轨器 |
Tab.2
Direct influence probability and weight of factors affecting X46%
因素 | 直接影响概率之和 | 权重 |
---|---|---|
X36 | 7.00 | 1.66 |
X28 | 6.00 | 1.42 |
X16 | 6.07 | 1.43 |
X26 | 8.00 | 1.89 |
X13 | 0.32 | 0.08 |
X12 | 160.00 | 37.85 |
X44 | 2.80 | 0.66 |
X24 | 1.37 | 0.32 |
X23 | 11.20 | 2.65 |
X22 | 0.67 | 0.16 |
X42 | 0.19 | 0.05 |
X5 | 161.00 | 38.09 |
X17 | 4.03 | 0.95 |
X19 | 0.23 | 0.06 |
X21 | 0.54 | 0.13 |
X32 | 28.75 | 6.80 |
X1 | 22.00 | 5.20 |
X15 | 1.10 | 0.26 |
X33 | 1.32 | 0.31 |
X35 | 0.12 | 0.03 |
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