Apriori algorithm-based statistical analysis of hydrogen accidents

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2024.04.0839

Abstract

Abstract:

To explore the correlation between different characteristic factors of hydrogen accidents, 827 safety accidents involving hydrogen systems were used as the data set to statistically analyze the characteristic factors such as accident date, application stage, ignition source, accident causes and consequences. First, a network of association rules for accident causation was constructed to discuss accident causation relevance. Then, the causes and consequences of the accident were analyzed interactively. Finally, Apriori algorithm-based association rule mining was performed on six types of characteristic factors of hydrogen accidents. The results show that six accident causation combinations, such as equipment failure and design error, operational error and accidental reaction, are the most highly correlated among hydrogen safety accidents. Unignited hydrogen release is strongly associated with eight factors, like pressure relief devices and ventilation systems. Hydrogen fires are strongly associated with nine factors, like bolts and spontaneous combustion. And hydrogen explosions are strongly associated with five factors, like hydrogen production, electrical sparks, and compressors.

Key words: Apriori algorithm, association rule, hydrogen accidents, statistical analysis, accident causation, interaction analysis

CLC Number:

X928.5化学物质致因事故

YU Xirui, HE Xu, KONG Depeng. Apriori algorithm-based statistical analysis of hydrogen accidents[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2024, 34(4): 128-134.

Figures/Tables 11

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序号	关联因素	链接数
1	设备失效-设计错误	74
2	设备失效-操作错误	57
3	操作错误-意外反应	47
4	操作错误-程序缺陷	44
5	设备失效-维护缺陷	41
6	操作错误-培训问题	34

关联后项	关联前项(Lift)
无氢气释放	氢燃料电池车(6.56)、交通(4.57)
未点燃的氢气释放	压力释放装置(2.23)、高压气瓶(2.00)、加氢站(1.94)、通风/排气系统(1.87)、液氢(1.80)、运氢(1.69)、阀门/法兰/接头(1.64)、氢管拖车(1.47)
火灾	静电(1.86)、螺栓/垫片(1.80)、自燃(1.74)、热交换器(1.50)、电火花(1.42)、工业(1.24)、阀门/法兰/接头(1.21)、管道(1.67)、气氢(1.02)
爆炸	制氢(1.39)、电火花(1.37)、压缩机(1.17)、自燃(1.15)、储氢罐(1.11)