考虑公众辟谣及反馈机制的谣言传播及干预研究

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.02.003

中国安全科学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (2): 13-17.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2017.02.003

考虑公众辟谣及反馈机制的谣言传播及干预研究

宋清华, 陈建宏教授

中南大学资源与安全工程学院,湖南长沙 410083

收稿日期:2016-11-20 修回日期:2017-01-08 出版日期:2017-02-28 发布日期:2020-11-22
作者简介:宋清华 (1988—),女,河南商丘人,博士研究生,主要研究方向为应急管理能力建设。E-mail:qhsongcsu@163.com。
陈建宏 (1963—),男,湖南长沙人,博士,教授,副院长,博士生导师,主要从事安全预警与应急管理研究。E-mail:cjh@263.net。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助(51374242);中南大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2015zzts079)。

Study on rumor propagation and intervention considering rumor refutation of public and feedback mechanism

SONG Qinghua, CHEN Jianhong

School of Resources and Safety Engineering, Central South University, Changsha Hunan 410083, China

Received:2016-11-20 Revised:2017-01-08 Online:2017-02-28 Published:2020-11-22

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为降低官方辟谣信息缺位情况下谣言传播带来的负面影响,考虑公众辟谣及反馈机制,建立谣言传播模型及平均场方程。对方程进行数学分析,利用四阶龙格-库塔法求解方程,确定谣言传播的临界点。以系统中参数表示公众批判意识、公众辟谣能力、辟谣信息反馈机制作用强度、谣言辨识重要性等影响因子,以谣言传播激烈程度和负面影响范围表示谣言传播结果,分析单个影响因子变化对谣言传播结果的影响。结果表明,提高公众批判意识和辟谣能力、强化辟谣信息反馈机制、依据谣言辨识重要性优化谣言管理等是有效的谣言管理措施。

关键词: 谣言传播, 突发事件, 应急管理, 公众, 批判意识, 辟谣信息

Abstract: For the sake of reducing the negative effect brought by rumor propagation in the absence of official rumor refutation information, a rumor propagation model was built and mean-field equations were established after considering rumor refutation of public and feedback mechanism. The equations were analyzed and then solved with the four-order Runge-Kutta method.The threshold for rumor propagation was determined. Parameters in the system were used to represent influencing factors including public's critical consciousness, public's rumor refutation ability, strength of rumor refutation information feedback mechanism and importance of identifying rumors. Rumor propagation results were interpreted by rumor propagation fierceness and negative influence scope. Influence of changing one influencing factor on rumor propagation results was analyzed. Results show that improving public's critical consciousness and rumor refutation ability, facilitating rumor refutation information feedback mechanism, and priority management of rumors based on importance of rumor identification are effective rumor management measures.

Key words: rumor propagation, emergent event, emergency management, public, critical consciousness, rumor refutation information

中图分类号:

X915.2

宋清华, 陈建宏. 考虑公众辟谣及反馈机制的谣言传播及干预研究[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2017, 27(2): 13-17.

SONG Qinghua, CHEN Jianhong. Study on rumor propagation and intervention considering rumor refutation of public and feedback mechanism[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2017, 27(2): 13-17.

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考虑公众辟谣及反馈机制的谣言传播及干预研究

Study on rumor propagation and intervention considering rumor refutation of public and feedback mechanism

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