中国安全科学学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5): 158-167.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2023.05.2014

• 公共安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

安全发展视角下城市应急管理能力评估

程方明1,2(), 王琛琛1,2, 袁晓芳3   

  1. 1 西安科技大学 安全科学与工程学院,陕西 西安 710054
    2 西安市城市公共安全与消防救援重点实验室,陕西 西安 710054
    3 西安科技大学 管理学院,陕西 西安 710054
  • 收稿日期:2022-12-13 修回日期:2023-03-09 出版日期:2023-05-28
  • 作者简介:

    程方明 (1982—),男,辽宁本溪人,博士,副教授,主要从事城市公共安全、应急管理及气体粉尘爆炸防控等方面的研究。E-mail:

  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助(52174200); 国家自然科学基金资助(52004208); 陕西省创新能力支撑计划项目(2020TD-021)

Evaluation of urban emergency management capabilities from perspective of safe development

CHENG Fangming1,2(), WANG Chenchen1,2, YUAN Xiaofang3   

  1. 1 School of Safety Science and Engineering, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China
    2 Xi'an Key Laboratory of Urban Public Safety and Fire Rescue, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China
    3 School of Management, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an Shaanxi 710054, China
  • Received:2022-12-13 Revised:2023-03-09 Published:2023-05-28

摘要:

为合理有效地评估城市应急管理能力,推进现代化城市的建设,基于安全发展视角,从城市安全源头治理能力、城市安全风险防控能力、城市安全监督管理能力、城市安全保障能力、城市安全应急救援能力及城市安全应急恢复能力6个方面,构建城市应急管理能力评估体系;为有效减少权重计算主观性因素,采用G1法结合熵权法的组合赋权法确定指标权重值;为加强评价工作的科学性、准确性,运用云模型、物元可拓模型构建综合评价模型,以A市为例开展应用,验证该模型的科学性和有效性。结果表明:该指标体系能全面准确反映城市应急管理能力现状,综合评价模型能够准确科学评估城市应急管理能力,为政府应急管理工作提供决策依据。

关键词: 安全发展, 城市应急管理, 能力评估, 云模型, 物元可拓模型

Abstract:

To reasonably and effectively evaluate urban emergency management capability and promote the construction of modern cities, an urban emergency management capacity evaluation system was constructed from six aspects: urban safety source governance capabilities, urban safety risk prevention and control capabilities, urban safety supervision and management capabilities, urban safety assurance capabilities, urban safety emergency rescue capabilities, and urban safety emergency recovery capabilities. The G1 method combined with the entropy weight method was used to calculate the combined weight to effectively reduce the subjective factors of weight calculation. The cloud model and the material-element extensibility model were used to construct a comprehensive evaluation model to strengthen the scientificity and accuracy of the evaluation work. Then a city was taken as an example to conduct application research to verify the scientificity and effectiveness of the model. The results show that the index system can comprehensively and accurately reflect the current situation of urban emergency management capacity, and the comprehensive evaluation model can accurately and scientifically evaluate urban emergency management capacity, which can provide decision-making basis for government emergency management.

Key words: safe development, urban emergency management, capability assessment, cloud model, matter-element extension model