中国安全科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (2): 170-174.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.02.029

• 安全工程技术科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

城市商业综合体建筑火灾事故演变路径分析

周扬1, 夏登友2 教授, 高平1   

  1. 1 中国人民武装警察部队学院 研究生二队,河北 廊坊 065000;
    2 中国人民武装警察部队学院 消防指挥系,河北 廊坊 065000
  • 收稿日期:2017-10-16 修回日期:2017-12-27 出版日期:2018-02-28 发布日期:2020-11-17
  • 作者简介:周扬 (1992—),男,山东荣成人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为灭火与应急救援指挥。E-mail:346519219@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:
    河北省科技计划项目(16275413)。

Analysis of evolution path of urban commercial complex fire accident

ZHOU Yang1, XIA Dengyou2, GAO Ping1   

  1. 1 Team of Graduate Student, The Armed Police Academy, Langfang Hebei 065000, China;
    2 Department of Commanding, The Armed Police Academy, Langfang Hebei 065000, China
  • Received:2017-10-16 Revised:2017-12-27 Online:2018-02-28 Published:2020-11-17

摘要: 为促进城市商业综合体建筑火灾情景演变路径分析程序及表示方法的规范化,依据城市商业综合体建筑火灾特点,基于知识元模型中的特征要素表示情景,识别情景中致灾因子、承灾体、驱动要素为主的特征要素,通过分析主要特征要素的状态参数变化及特征要素间相互作用,确定城市商业综合体建筑火灾事故情景可能演变路径并以网络图的形式表示。研究表明:基于特征要素的演变路径分析及网络图表达方法实现了城市商业综合体建筑火灾事故演变路径分析及表示的规范化、直观化。

关键词: 城市商业综合体建筑, 火灾事故, 情景, 特征要素, 影响因素, 演变路径, 应急决策指挥

Abstract: In order to facilitate normalization of the analysis procedures and expression methods of evolution path in emergency decision-making on urban commercial complex fire accident, urban commercial complex fire was studied on the basis of the knowledge element model. Characteristic elements were identified for expressing the accident, including the factors causing disaster, the object of disaster, and the activating elements. An analysis pattern for influence factors of the evolution of urban commercial complex fire accident was set up so as to improve the comprehensiveness of the research methods of evolution path and the accuracy of the decision of emergency command. Meanwhile, a scenario evolution path analysis and expression mode was established on the basis of the influence factors of evolution. The research provides a decision basis for the response to urban commercial complex fire accidents based on the possible evolution path.

Key words: urban commercial complex, fire accidents, scenario, characteristic elements, influence factor, evolution path, decision of emergency command

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