中国安全科学学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5): 9-16.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2023.05.2506

• 安全科学理论与安全系统科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

统筹能源发展与安全:逻辑、挑战与策略

徐孝民()   

  1. 中国矿业大学(北京) 管理学院,北京 100083
  • 收稿日期:2022-12-12 修回日期:2023-03-05 出版日期:2023-05-28
  • 作者简介:

    徐孝民 (1963—),男,江苏徐州人,管理学博士,研究员,博士生导师,主要从事管理科学与政策方面的研究。E-mail:

Logic, challenges and strategies of overall energy development and security

XU Xiaomin()   

  1. School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083,China
  • Received:2022-12-12 Revised:2023-03-05 Published:2023-05-28

摘要:

为改善当前能源发展困局,从国际能源发展环境的时代主题出发,梳理国外能源发展与安全的典型模式和新时代中国能源发展与安全的范式;研判未来战略导向,探索当下能源发展策略。结果表明:能源生产和消费不平衡决定我国能源发展面临着对外依存度高、清洁程度低、安全风险大、科技创新能力弱以及缺少国际能源主导与话语权等挑战。从中长远发展战略看,应该以能源转型,突破能源封锁、实现能源独立为战略导向,优化能源供给结构,加强国际能源互联互通,提升国际能源话语权;以新能源革命为重要举措,依靠洁煤、稳油、增气等举措,大力发展新能源战略,加快能源创新驱动,寻求能源独立。

关键词: 能源发展, 能源安全, 逻辑, 挑战, 策略

Abstract:

In order to improve the current energy development dilemma, the typical patterns of foreign energy development and security and the paradigm of China's energy development and security in the new era were sorted out from the current theme of international energy development environment. Future strategic orientation was studied, and current energy development strategies are explored. The results show that the imbalance between energy production and consumption determines that China's energy development faces challenges such as high external dependence, low cleanliness, high security risks, weak scientific and technological innovation capacity, and lack of international energy dominance and discourse. From the perspective of medium and long-term development strategy, China should take energy transformation, break through energy blockade and achieve energy independence as the strategic direction, optimize energy supply structure, strengthen international energy interconnection and enhance international energy discourse, take new energy revolution as an important initiative, rely on initiatives such as clean coal, stable oil and increased gas, vigorously develop new energy strategy, accelerate energy innovation drive and seek energy independence.

Key words: energy development, energy security, logic, challenge, strategies