关键词: 可接受风险, 大白兔风险, 风险隐喻, 风险管理, 合理可行的最低风险水平(ALARP)原则, 累积效应

Abstract:

In order to enhance the identification and control of low-probability, low-consequence risk events, this study draws on the theory of acceptable risk and employs questionnaire surveys combined with repeated-measures analysis of variance to examine the applicability and scientific validity of animal metaphors in representing acceptable risks. The questionnaire was designed to assess four animals across dimensions such as perceived threat, stability, controllability, and cultural-emotional associations. Sixty participants with a background in risk management were invited to provide quantitative evaluations. The results indicate that the white rabbit received significantly higher acceptability ratings than the cat, dog, and wolf, with the lowest risk level and the most positive cultural associations, indicating its suitability as a metaphorical representation of acceptable risk. Rabbit risks are characterized by low probability, mild consequences, and cumulative effects, and may transform into unacceptable risks under the influence of multiple factors. Based on this, three prevention principles are proposed: adhering to ALARP principle, incorporating differences in individual and group risk perception, and applying high-probability thinking to low-probability events. A multi-level prevention system comprising elimination, substitution, control, and isolation is constructed to achieve comprehensive risk governance for white rabbit risks.

Key words: acceptable risk, white rabbit risk, risk metaphor, risk management, as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP) principle, cumulative effects