中国安全科学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (S1): 61-66.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2026.S1.0010

• 安全技术与工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

电力行业人身伤亡事故致因量化分析与防控策略

万里(), 肖琦   

  1. 国家能源集团 电力安全监察中心, 江苏 南京 210023
  • 收稿日期:2026-02-11 修回日期:2026-04-10 出版日期:2026-06-30
  • 作者简介:

    万 里 (1985—),男,甘肃平凉人,本科,高级工程师,主要从事企业安全生产管理与安全监察等方面的研究。E-mail:。

    肖 琦 高级工程师

Quantitative analysis of causes of personal injury and fatality accidents in power industry and prevention and control strategies

Wan Li(), Xiao Qi   

  1. Power Safety Supervision Center, China Energy Investment Corporation Co., Ltd., Nanjing Jiangsu 210023, China
  • Received:2026-02-11 Revised:2026-04-10 Published:2026-06-30

摘要:

为量化分析电力行业人身伤亡事故致因并提出防控策略,选取2020—2024年全国电力行业165起典型人身伤亡事故为样本,采用描述性统计、灰色关联分析及耦合度模型,融合瑞士奶酪模型与“2-4”模型,构建事故致因量化分析框架,精准识别核心致因并量化表征耦合效应。结果表明:2020—2024年电力行业人身伤亡事故整体呈波动变化趋势,2023年事故起数达到周期内峰值;高处坠落(32.7%)、触电(18.2%)为主要事故类型,合计占比50.9%;春季、秋季为事故高发时段,华北、西北区域为事故高发区域;直接致因层面人员不安全行为(73.9%)占主导地位,违规操作、安全监督不力、安全培训不到位为3大核心致因,三者高度耦合(耦合度0.985)。

关键词: 电力行业, 人身伤亡事故, 事故致因, 灰色关联分析, 防控策略

Abstract:

To quantitatively analyze the causes of accidents involving personal injuries or fatalities in the power industry and propose prevention and control strategies, this study selected 165 typical accidents involving personal injuries or fatalities in China's power industry from 2020 to 2024 as the research sample. Descriptive statistics, grey relational analysis, and a coupling degree model were employed. The Swiss cheese model and the "2-4" Model were integrated, and a quantitative analysis framework for accident causes was constructed to accurately identify the core causes and quantitatively characterize their coupling effects. The results show that personal injury and fatality accidents in the power industry exhibit an overall fluctuating trend from 2020 to 2024, with the number of accidents reaching its peak in 2023. Falls from height (32.7%) and electric shocks (18.2%) are the main accident types, together accounting for 50.9% of all accidents. Spring and autumn are the periods with a high incidence of accidents, while North China and Northwest China are the regions with a high incidence of accidents. At the level of direct causes, unsafe acts of personnel (73.9%) are dominant. Violations of operating procedures, inadequate safety supervision, and inadequate safety training are the three core causes, and they are highly coupled, with a coupling degree of 0.985.

Key words: power industry, personal injury and fatality accident, accident cause, grey relational analysis, prevention and control strategy

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