Analysis on passengers' agglomeration behavior at highway passenger stations considering group difference

doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.02.007

Abstract

Abstract:

In order to reduce potential safety hazards caused by passenger agglomeration at passenger stations during peak periods, based on full sample ticket purchasing data of highway passenger transport, a quantitative model of agglomeration behavior was established from three aspects, which were agglomeration probability, duration and intensity, and gathering characteristics of passenger flows at different levels of stations during weekdays, holidays and Spring Festival were obtained. Then, considering passengers' individual attributes and travel characteristics, agglomeration behavior characteristics of different groups were analyzed. Finally, a difference test was conducted to analyze influencing factors of such behavior, and countermeasures to reduce security risks were put forward. The results show that probability of passenger agglomeration in highway stations follows distribution of six polynomials, and its cumulative probability follows that of quadratic function, with highest probability of it occurring [10,20]min before departure. Regardless of travel distance, most travelers have a short waiting time, but in different periods, their flow concentration intensity and speed for different levels of passenger stations are significantly different. The spatial and temporal clustering characteristics of the first level stations are significant, while randomness of second level ones is stronger.

Key words: passenger group, highway passenger station, passenger aggregation behavior, travel distance, safety risk

ZUO Wei, JI Xiaofeng, CHEN Fang, QIN Wenwen. Analysis on passengers' agglomeration behavior at highway passenger stations considering group difference[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2022, 32(2): 42-50.

Figures/Tables 11

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个体属性	购票信息	取票信息	乘车信息	出行路径
身份证信息	购票渠道	取票日期	乘车站名称	线路名称
	购票日期	取票时间	发车日期	到站点
	购票时间	取票时间	发车时间	里程

时期	出行距离/km	样本量	均值	中位数	标准差	偏度	峰度
工作日	[60,100)	121	45.90	43.27	31.07	0.72	0.18
	[100,300)	700	59.47	47.08	49.56	1.44	1.91
	[300,500)	322	40.37	28.93	40.39	2.31	5.87
	[500,800)	45	60.05	45.10	46.50	1.09	0.68
周末	[60,100)	166	46.78	34.90	35.54	1.04	0.30
	[100,300)	887	67.92	53.48	50.78	1.08	0.63
	[300,500)	724	53.09	48.78	34.65	1.72	4.92
	[500,800)	39	76.85	71.78	51.33	0.60	-0.51
节假日	[60,100)	113	41.20	37.00	35.21	2.92	14.24
	[100,300)	687	58.46	46.08	44.62	1.36	1.69
	[300,500)	502	45.90	41.71	34.66	2.41	8.21
	[500,800)	45	80.95	62.28	53.02	0.60	-0.59
春运	[60,100)	115	49.89	40.03	38.01	2.06	6.34
	[100,300)	587	59.28	47.43	44.26	1.15	1.15
	[300,500)	667	87.21	78.20	49.33	0.29	-1.08
	[500,800)	34	100.34	83.38	60.01	0.47	-1.15

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