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Table of Content

    28 July 2022, Volume 32 Issue 7
    Safety science theory and safety system science
    Research on "four collaborations" training mode for nuclear safety talents in China
    LUO Zhuhua, LIU Yi, LIU Yong
    2022, 32(7):  1-6.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2485
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    In order to innovate talents' training mode and improve training quality, with University of South China as an example, necessity of collaborative training was analyzed through literature analysis method, and existing problems of it were discussed through investigation and analysis. Then, "four collaborations" training mode was established based on experience summary and systematic analysis. The results show that the features of nuclear safety talents include its scarcity, particularity and dispersion of educational resources, all of which make collaborative training necessary. The current talent training in China is confronted with the problem of insufficient collaboration, so it is imperative to speed up reform of training mode. The core elements of "four collaborations" mode include collaborative training in ideological and political courses and the courses' ideological and political education, multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary professional collaborative training, school and enterprise collaborative training and international collaborative training.

    Safety inspection ability model of statutory self-inspection personnel in civil aviation
    LI Jingqiang, FAN Tianchen
    2022, 32(7):  7-13.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2773
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    In order to explore the safety inspection ability of statutory self-inspection personnel in civil aviation and improve their capacity-building, the safety inspection ability model of statutory self-inspection personnel in civil aviation was established through the factor analysis of relevant data. Eighteen indicators were selected according to the literature review, relevant regulations and analysis of the statutory self-inspection personnel working mode. The model includes 3 indicators: work core competence, professional work basic knowledge and personal quality concept, and 18 secondary indicators such as the ability to find and eliminate hidden dangers, familiarity with rules and manuals and safety awareness. SEM was used to verify the effectiveness of the safety inspection ability model and determine the influence degree of each indicator on the model. Finally, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to analyze the model empirically. The results show that the constructed model can objectively and accurately reflect the safety inspection ability of statutory self-inspection personnel, consistent with their actual work performance. The model has certain validity and consistency after verification.

    Development and practice of training pattern for construction safety professionals
    LIU Jiahua
    2022, 32(7):  14-19.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2448
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    In order to improve education quality of construction safety professionals, and to explore training mode of high-quality technical and skilled talents, existing problems in current training mode were analyzed for possible solutions considering new demands of construction industry modernization. Then, a student-centered practical training platform was built, and industry-education collaboration, industry-academia collaboration and research and training integration were carried out to achieve four-step development from transferring knowledge, improving skill, shaping value to leading innovation. Finally, a new educational model for construction safety talents was established, and its application effect was analyzed. The results show that by developing a suitable curriculum system which meets demands of enterprises to cultivate a craftsman-type double-qualified team, innovate a practical training practice platform, integrate production and education, and achieve collaborative innovation, it can add value to the training of technical and skilled personnel in construction safety sciences.

    Investigation on research team and hot topics of accident causation in China
    LI Jie, YI Hongyan, LI Naiwen
    2022, 32(7):  20-27.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1965
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    To comprehensively understand the research situation of domestic accident causation and provide scientific and technological information support for the research of accident causation in China, the output, research strength and research hotspots of 314 research papers included in China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) were analyzed through the method of safemetrics. The results show that the research on accident causations in China has gone through two stages. In the first stage (1992-2007)-the embryonic stage, there were few annual papers on accident causations. After entering the second stage (2008-2020), the research on accident causations in China has entered a period of rapid development, and the overall output has shown an significant growth trend. The research papers of accident causation are mainly published in safety journals such as China Safety Science Journal, Journal of Safety Science and Technology and Safety in Coal Mines etc.. The strength of accident causation research in China was relatively scattered, and the cooperation network was dominated by teacher-student cooperation within the organization. The research team is mainly composed of FU Gui, WU Chao, TIAN Shuicheng and FAN Yunxiao. The research on accident causation in the two stages shows significant differences, and stays in a single descriptive analysis and practice at the beginning. After entering the new period, the research content and application are more abundant, and the theory and method of accident causation in China are gradually formed.

    Reconstruction of FYUS during cultivation of emergency management talents: from perspective of situated learning theory
    XU Wenwen, ZHANG Muxin
    2022, 32(7):  28-33.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.0415
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    In order to improve operation efficiency of FYUS during emergency management talent training, a three-dimensional dilemma was discovered, including spatio-temporal conflict between tutors and students, lack of educational carriers and ambiguity of educational goals, through interviewing tutors and students in University X. Then, based on situated learning theory, a new model of FYUS was constructed, which included four core elements of education community, learning scenario, M-learning community, and legitimate peripheral participation. Finally, the new model was compared with traditional ones from four dimensions of core executors, involved groups, learning methods, and training goals. It is found that the new one can break three-dimensional dilemma and improve training efficiency of emergency management talents.

    Safety social science and safety management
    Influence of PSC on miners' unsafe behaviors
    YU Min, LI Jizu, QIN Wenjing
    2022, 32(7):  34-40.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1357
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    In order to clarify influence mechanism of PSC on unsafe behaviors of miners, based on literature research and field investigation, relationship between PSC, work-family conflicts, job burnout and unsafe behaviors was analyzed, and a hypothetical model of miners' unsafe behaviors in the context of PSC was established. Then, a survey was conducted among 1,200 front-line miners in different teams of 30 coal mines in Shanxi Province. Finally, multi-level linear analysis method was used to verify the model. The results show that PSC negatively affects work-family conflicts, job burnout and unsafe behaviors in a cross-level way. Work-family conflicts have an impact on unsafe behavior through the mediating role of job burnout, while PSC exerts an impact on job burnout through that of work-family conflicts, and exerts its impact on unsafe behaviors through that of job burnout. PSC can alleviate miners' work-family conflicts and job burnout, effectively reducing unsafe behaviors.

    Prevention mechanism of occupational safety risks of investigators
    QIN Shuai, ZHAO Mingzheng
    2022, 32(7):  41-47.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.0201
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    In order to improve investigators' capabilities in preventing occupational safety risks and to innovate prevention mechanism which adapted to laws of criminal investigation, with manifestation of occupational safety risks of investigators as a starting point for research, influencing factors of their safety risks were analyzed from aspects of individuals and environment. Then, relationship between occupational safety risks prevention links and prevention mechanism was analyzed, and types and stages of the links were analyzed. Furthermore, basic elements and operation relationship of occupational safety risks prevention mechanism were put forward. The results show that there are many kinds of such safety risks for investigators, and they are mostly affected by human and environment factors. Moreover, prevention links are also part of prevention mechanism, and the dynamic combination between basic elements and operation relationship is regarded as a core issue to establish risks prevention mechanism.

    Comparative study of systematic analysis on accident causes based on 24Model and accident investigation reports: taking Xiangshui explosion accident as an example
    YUAN Chenhui, SHI Yaqian, MA Yong, ZHAO Yihao, FU Gui
    2022, 32(7):  48-55.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1859
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    In order to promote wide application of 24Model in official accident investigation, and to explore shortcomings of accident investigation reports, with Xiangshui "3·21" explosion accident as an example, accident causes were analyzed based on 24Model, and their action paths were plotted. Then, comparison was made with investigation report. The results show that causes of the accident in Tianjiayi company include unsafe acts, unsafe conditions and lack of safety capability at individual level, as well as lack of safety culture and safety management system at organizational level. In regard of causes at the latter level, the investigation report does not make a detailed analysis, without revealing accident mechanism or accurately defining and dividing various types of responsible persons. However, 24Model, based on complete definition of every cause and factor, is able to summarize the causes with systematic analyses and clarify definition of responsible persons and their liability distribution.

    Safety engineering technology
    Design and implementation of SHM system for highway tunnels
    XIE Quanmin, MA Wei, YANG Wendong
    2022, 32(7):  56-62.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1444
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    In order to reduce structural damages of mountain highway tunnels during operation, to improve operation management and reduce maintenance costs, a structural health monitoring system for the tunnel was developed by utilizing SHM and automatic monitoring technology. Then, overall system framework, core subsystems and various functions were established by adopting C series programming language, C/S structure and 4-layer architecture system. Finally, experiments were conducted in Chang'an tunnel of Huaiyang expressway to verify applicability and effectiveness of the system. The results show that the proposed system can collect, organize and store monitoring data of various types of sensors in real time, analyze and process data (such as curve analysis, over-limit monitoring and early warning and forecasting, etc.), correlate measurement points with CAD drawings, and comprehensively evaluate tunnel structural health and generate reports automatically.

    Synergistic flame-retardant and smoke suppression effect of nano-TiO2 in transparent intumescent fire-retardant coatings
    YI Liang, YANG Qian, YAN Long, WANG Ning, XU Zhisheng
    2022, 32(7):  63-69.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1535
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    In order to improve the flame retardancy and smoke suppression efficiency of transparent intumescent fire-retardant coatings, flexible phosphate ester (PPE) and nano titanium dioxide (TiO2) were applied as raw materials to synthesize nano-composite flexible PPE flame retardant, which was compounded with amino resin to obtain transparent intumescent fire-retardant coatings. Based on the cabinet method and tunnel method test, the synergistic effect, flame retardancy, smoke suppression and aging resistance of nano-TiO2 in the transparent fire-retardant coatings was analyzed by Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy, smoke density instrument and scanning electron microscope. The results show that the addition of nano-TiO2 can effectively improve the char-forming ability, flame retardancy and smoke suppression performance of the coating, and promote the formation of more cross-linking structures and aromatic structures in the combustion process of the coating, and maintain a high transmittance. When the mass ratio of PPE and nano-TiO2 was 99.7∶0.3, the coating shows the best synergistic effect. Compared with the coating without nano-TiO2, the flame spread ratio and smoke density of the coating decreased by 69.5% and 83.3%, respectively. The carbon residual rate reached 38.9% at 700 ℃.

    Improvement of aircraft classification method based on wake safety assessment
    WEI Zhiqiang, LI Xiaochen
    2022, 32(7):  70-76.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1241
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    In order to analyze the rationality of different aircraft classification methods and the safety of wake separation standards, a wake vortex safety assessment model was established based on the rapid simulation method, and the induced RMC was used as the assessment index of wake vortex severity. During approaching and landing phase wake safety of 10 heavy-sized aircraft and 36 medium-sized aircraft under different wake separation standards was calculated and analyzed. RECAT-NEW method was proposed base on reclassification of the medium-sized aircraft and the adjustment of wake separation standards. Results show that the RMC calculated by the ICAO and RECAT-EU methods is larger and the wake vortex severity more serious. The RECAT-CN and RECAT1.5 methods are relatively conservative in the classification of medium-sized aircraft, and there is a reduction space in the wake interval. The RECAT-NEW grouping method is 54% higher than ICAO and RECAT-EU methods in terms of safety margin, and the wake separation is 0.3 km shorter than RECAT-CN and RECAT1.5.

    Ship stability correction method considering dynamic instability of cargo
    WU Jianjun, XUE Xiaoxing, XI Yongtao, JIN Yongxing
    2022, 32(7):  77-84.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.0573
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    In order to further evaluate stability of carriers with solid bulk cargo that may liquefy, a correction method for ship stability was proposed considering dynamic instability of cargo. Firstly, based on dynamic coupling between ship's posture and cargo performance, including its moisture content, density, compaction and pile surface, surface effect of high density slurry, which jeopardized ship stability, was analyzed. Then, critical slurry density and critical moisture content were obtained through dynamic instability experiment of bauxite and approximate calculation of ship stability, and moreover, risk control measures were presented to suppress the surface effect. The results show that the initial stability height of bauxite carriers would not meet minimum requirements and be at severe risks of capsizing disaster in the condition where moisture content exceeds 14.5% and slurry density reaches 2.0 t/m3, or moisture content at 19.5% and slurry density at 1.5 t/m3. The term and concept of "surface effect of high density slurry" put forward in this paper extend boundaries of liquid density, and can be utilized to correct initial stability height of bulk carriers with non-viscous cargo that may liquefy, and furthermore to evaluate their stability and safety, improving risk prevention ability.

    Overall structural stability analysis on wheel coupler formwork support
    DONG Jinfeng, LIU Haiqing, LEI Ming, CHEN Zimu, CHENG Yang, XU Hongwu
    2022, 32(7):  85-92.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1917
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    In order to address problems like poor safety of wheel coupler formwork support and difficulty in determining construction scheme, stability bearing capacity of central pole, side pole and corner pole at single layer and double layers was experimentally carried out based on normal operation stress state of the formwork support. The experiment results were analyzed and compared with finite element analysis results, and their feasibility and correctness were verified. Then, based on verified finite element model and nonlinear characteristics of semi-rigid connection joints, first-order buckling modal analysis and nonlinear buckling analysis of wheel coupler formwork support were carried out, and influence of joint bending stiffness and loading method on the support's stability was studied. The results show that along with increase of joint bending stiffness, critical load will grow bigger while overall stability of the support is better, which will be the best when central loading method is adopted.

    Study on temperature and flame characteristics of ceiling jet induced by wall-attached fire in a tunnel
    XU Tong, TANG Fei, HE Qing
    2022, 32(7):  93-97.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2080
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    In order to study the ceiling jet characteristics induced by the wall-attached fire in a tunnel, tunnel fire experiments were conducted. Four rectangular fire sources with different aspect ratios were selected, and the influence of three source-ceiling distances and four heat release rates on flame spread and temperature distribution under celling were analyzed. The research found that with the increase in heat release rates and decrease of the source-ceiling distance, the temperature of the tunnel ceiling increases in both transverse and longitudinal directions. As the aspect ratio of the burner increases, the spread length and transverse temperature of ceiling jet transverse flame also increase, while the longitudinal flame length decreases. Meantime, the longitudinal flame length difference of different aspect ratios increases with the heat release rates, and the maximum value is 0.36 m.

    Investigation on back-calculation of leakage source information of gas based on modified Gaussian model
    LIU Chang, SU Teng, ZHOU Ru, JIANG Juncheng
    2022, 32(7):  98-104.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.0741
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    In order to quickly and accurately predict the intensity and location of gas leakage, the objective function of the source term information back-calculation model was established by coupling the atmospheric diffusion model and optimization algorithm. The location and intensity of the leakage source were calculated based on the concentration analysis of the downwind direction of the leakage source, and the hybrid PSO-DE algorithm was applied to the source information back-calculation. The influence of the forward gas diffusion model on the source term information back-calculation was analyzed, and the smoke lifting height in the Gaussian plume model was corrected. At the same time, the ground reflection coefficient is added. The source back-calculation was carried out with the simulation data of the AFTOX as the monitored leakage concentration, and the relative error was reduced to 1%. The results show that the modified Gaussian diffusion model can verify the application of particle swarm optimization-differential evolution algorithm in the back-calculation of source term information, and the application of this model in source information back-calculation can effectively improve the accuracy of source term information backcalculation

    Combination weighting prediction model and application of rock burst disaster based on game theory
    ZHOU Yinghao, WANG Wenjie, LU Xizhou, WANG Kangwei
    2022, 32(7):  105-112.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.0620
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    In order to solve the problems of poor rationality of combination weighting and poor applicability of maximum membership degree principle in rock burst classification prediction, a set pair analysis and prediction model based on game theory combination weighting is proposed. Firstly, the stress coefficient σθc, brittleness coefficientσct and elastic energy index Wet were selected as prediction indicators to establish the rock burst classification prediction index system. Secondly, game theory was used to optimize the combination weights obtained by the Delphi method and entropy weight method. Combined with the set pair analysis theory, the combination weights set pair analysis model of rock burst classification prediction is established. Then, the maximum membership principle and the confidence criterion were used to determine the level of rock burst disaster. Finally, the reliability of the model was verified with 15 sets of rock burst samples, and the rock burst intensity in deep mining of Jinchuan No.2 mine was predicted. The results show that the model improves the scientific rationality of combination weighting and grade determination. The prediction accuracy rate is 87%. The rock burst intensity grade of the 850 m horizontal middle section of Jinchuan No.2 mine is mild to moderate, consistent with the actual situation.

    Prediction study on slope stability based on LightGBM algorithm
    ZHANG Kai, ZHANG Ke
    2022, 32(7):  113-120.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1473
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    In order to reduce the disasters and accidents caused by the slope instability, a slope stability prediction model based on the LightGBM algorithm was proposed. Six main influencing factors, i.e. volume weight, cohesion, internal friction angle, slope angle, slope height and pore pressure ratio, were taken as the input of the model, and the slope stability was taken as the output of the model. The classification performance metrics based on the confusion matrix and the area under curve (AUC) of the test performance curve were introduced to evaluate the generalization performance of this model. The results show that the proposed prediction model can well describe the complex nonlinear relationship between the influencing factors and the slope stability. Compared with other algorithms, the F1-Score and AUC of the LightGBM algorithm are 0.92 and 0.91, respectively, increasing by 1.10%-61.40% and 1.11%-28.17%, respectively. Compared with zero-mean normalization and arctangent normalization, the normalization of the minimum-maximum values considering the positive and negative correlations is more applicable to the data preprocessing of LightGBM model. Furthermore, by changing the length of the training dataset and single factor analysis, it is found that the generalization performance of the model is positively correlated with the length of the training dataset.

    Public safety
    Analysis of epidemic transmission in closed venues considering difference of vaccine effectiveness
    FANG Danhui, ZHOU Min, HONG Hong, LI Tingyang
    2022, 32(7):  121-127.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2366
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    In order to make the closed-loop managed event venues run smoothly and prevent the risk of epidemic transmission, in view of the fact that the classical infectious disease model does not consider the difference of vaccine efficacy among different populations and the actual situation of the venues, a Susceptible-Exposed-Removed (SER) infectious disease model considering high and low protective populations and removing infected persons wss proposed..Taking Delta virus as an example, some model parameters were fitted by Yangzhou epidemic data in July 2021. In this paper, The curling competition scenario was selected, and the control measures were divided into four levels considering the balance of epidemic prevention and control and the effect of the event., and the SER model was used to simulate and deduce the three epidemic input conditions. The results show that the virus spread rapidly without reasonable control measures. In the eight-day competition, there are up to hundreds of infection cases. According to different input conditions, the infection rate can be reduced by 90% through different levels of control measures, including reducing population contact, improving nucleic acid screening, and strengthening the operation control of events.

    Review and prospect of counterfactual simulation for road traffic safety
    ZHU Tong, WEI Wen, LIN Miao, ZHANG Jie, LIU Xiaolong, WEI Tianzheng
    2022, 32(7):  128-135.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2643
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    In order to clarify the development of counterfactual simulation and further promote application of counterfactual simulation technology, five stages of counterfactual simulation were sorted out, the differences between accident scenarios and natural driving scenarios were compared, the shortcomings of simulation models in the aspects of drivers' avoidance behavior, road conditions, accident damage and accident risk combination were discussed, and the simulation process and technical key points of evaluation indicators were summarized and compared based on the basic principle of counterfactual simulation. In addition, the development trend of counterfactual simulation technology was summarized based on the analysis of its applicability. The results show that the uncertainty of drivers limits the application field of counterfactual simulation and this technology is more suitable for evaluation and analysis of traffic safety during collision and hedging stages currently.

    Risk assessment of urban UAV operation under influence of buildings
    LI Yafei, LIU Minghuan, WANG Lili
    2022, 32(7):  136-142.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1226
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    In order to reduce the risk of UAV operating in urban areas, the concept of the shadowing effect of urban buildings on UAV was put forward. Firstly, building shadowing model and UAV risk assessment index were established, respcitively. Secondly, the buildings passed by the straight line from the starting point to the end point under the minimum flight height of UAV are determined, and the flight height layer of UAV is divided according to the determined building height. Then, the multi-obstacle avoidance path solution method based on Dubins theory was used to solve the flight path of each high-level UAV. Finally, based on this model, the risk cost of each high level path was quantified and compared to obtain the path with the minimum risk cost and flight altitude. The results show that the path of UAV is different at different flight altitudes, and the number, height and position of the buildings it crosses are also different. The shadowing effect of the buildings is obviously different, too. UAV path planning method considering the shadowing effect of buildings can reduce the risk cost of UAV operation in urban areas.

    Safety resilience assessment of urban road traffic system under rainstorm waterlogging
    TANG Shaohu, ZHU Wei, CHENG Guang, ZHENG Jianchun, ZHOU Jin
    2022, 32(7):  143-150.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1391
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    In order to evaluate the impact of a rainstorm waterlogging on the resilience of urban road traffic systems, the resilience network hierarchical model of the urban road traffic system was constructed by analyzing the safety resilience factors of the road traffic system. Four layers of networks were divided, including drainage network, road network, traffic network and emergency network, and the connotation and mechanism of the model were given. Combined with the hierarchical model, a resilience evaluation index system was designed. Furthermore, a qualitative and quantitative evaluation method of urban road traffic system resilience was given by using FAHP. Finally, a case study of a rainstorm waterlogging disaster in a region of Beijing was carried out. The results show that the resilience function curves of the system all decreased seriously after three rainfalls, with the decline ranges of 68.18%, 51.28% and 59.52%, respectively. The average resilience of the system is 0.57, and the resilience evaluation result is 0.53. The evaluation result is consistent with the example analysis. The proposed method can analyze the safety resilience, and evolution trend of urban road traffic systems under rainstorm waterlogging, realize the accurate evaluation of system safety resilience, and improve the management level of system safety resilience.

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    Pedestrian evacuation model considering information transfer among individuals
    HUO Feizhou, LI Chao, LI Yufei, LYU Wei, TU Wenhao
    2022, 32(7):  151-157.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1498
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    In order to study impacts of information transmission between pedestrians on their evacuation time within limited visual field, Dijkstra algorithm was used to improve static field of individuals familiar with environment, while the methods of dividing areas and introducing random field and guiding field were adopted to specify movement mode of those not familiar with environment, and information transmission rules were defined. Then, influencing mechanism of factors like pedestrian density, proportion of people familiar with environment, information transmission probability, information transmission range and pedestrian initial position distribution on evacuation process was discussed, and a model of human evacuation cellular automata considering information transmission was established. The results show that the information transmission between pedestrians can significantly promote evacuation, and increasing transmission probability and expanding transmission range can effectively reduce evacuation time. The probability, range, pedestrian density and spatial distribution of people familiar with environment jointly affect the overall evacuation time.

    Simulation of mixed traffic flow with HVs and CAVs on freeways in foggy weather
    FENG Fengjiang, CHENG Xinping, SUN Xiaoning
    2022, 32(7):  158-164.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1109
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    In order to improve driving safety in foggy weather, with a section of smart freeway as a research object, changes in driving behaviors under mixed traffic flow were analyzed, including decrease of safe speed, degradation of CAVs driving mode, and conservative lane-changing due to decrease in visibility. Then, a CAM of one-way freeway was established, where rules of longitudinal car-following and lateral lane-changing were designed. Finally, the model was validated through simulation, and traffic flow characteristics and accident probabilities were analyzed. The results indicate that under light fog, medium fog, heavy fog and dense fog conditions, the degradation ratios of CAVs are 52.3%, 60%, 63%, and 67.3%, lane-changing times during two hours are 161, 131, 104.3 and 69 (×102 veh), maximum free flow velocity is 90, 76.8, 62.6 and 46.8 km/h, and critical density is 42, 40, 38 and 36 veh/km, respectively, and they become more and more obvious with the decrease of permeability. Moreover, accident probability decreases greatly with increase of permeability, and it reduces by at least 52.9% when penetration reaches 50% compared to HVs environment.

    Vehicle lane-changing trajectory model in foggy weather based on safety distance
    FENG Song, QIAN Yubin, QU Xianguo, WANG Wanqiu
    2022, 32(7):  165-171.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1182
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    In order to improve vehicle safety in bad weather, a trajectory model was proposed based on safety distance. Firstly, adhesion coefficient and delay reaction time were introduced to determine initial distance of lane changing and following distance under foggy conditions. Secondly, considering influence of curvature, lateral speed and lateral acceleration on comfort and safety, lane-changing trajectory was established through cosine and hyperbolic tangent functions, so as to establish a vehicle lane-changing model in foggy days. Then, in tracking control part, a model predictive tracking controller was developed based on vehicle dynamics, which generated a real path that satisfied dynamic constraints by controlling steering angle of front wheels as much as possible according to planned trajectory. Finally, simulation verification was carried out in joint environment of Matlab/Simulink and Carsim. The results show that the lane-changing model based on safety distance can completely plan entire process. And lateral acceleration, front-wheel angle, and sideslip angle meet the requirements of comfort and stability, generating a safe and stable lane-changing trajectory.

    Technology and engineering of disaster prevention and mitigation
    Visual analysis of bibliometric research on landslide monitoring in China
    CHENG Gang, WANG Zhenxue, LI Gangqiang, NI Yufei, XU Liang
    2022, 32(7):  172-179.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2766
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    In order to reduce the frequency and degree of landslide disasters effectively, this paper made a visual analysis of the bibliometric research of landslide monitoring based on CNKI and Web of Science database. The research progress of landslide monitoring was described in detail from the perspectives of the number of papers, research hotspots, research institutions, researchers, and journal distribution. The VOSviewer software was used to analyze the high-frequency keywords and their correlation degree of landslide monitoring. The research hotspots and development trends were obtained through classification statistics and quantification. The results show that the decrease in the number of landslide disasters is positively correlated with the increase in the amount of research literature. In terms of monitoring technology, Integrated Monitoring System (IMS) and 3S are becoming more and more mature. Multi-method integrated monitoring such as Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), Distributed Fiber Optic Sensing (DFOS) and Terrestrial Laser Scanning (TLS) has become the new mainstream. The integrated multi-dimensional intelligent monitoring and early warning cloud platform will become an important direction for landslide disaster prevention and control.

    Emergency technology and management
    An evacuation model considering panic psychology
    XIE Qimiao, WANG Tao, WANG Weili
    2022, 32(7):  180-187.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.0585
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    In order to study the effect of the panic state on the evacuation time and process under an emergency, an evacuation simulation model based on cellular automata and an improved prisoner's dilemma model was established. The model discussed the effect of a panic state on the evacuation path, speed and behavioral strategy. Then, the impacts of initial occupant density, familiarity, behavioral strategy ratio and behavioral strategy inertia on the panicking crowd evacuation were analyzed. The study results show that the evacuation time generally increases as the degree of panic increases. However, an appropriate increase in the degree of panic can reduce the evacuation time under high-density gatherings and a high degree of familiarity with the environment. In addition, the standard deviation of crowd evacuation time for a certain evacuation scenario decreases with the increase of familiarity with the environment. When the occupants in a high degree of panic state are unfamiliar with the environment, maintaining a high degree of cooperative behavior can significantly reduce occupant evacuation time. Frequent adjustment of strategies increases evacuation time when environment familiarity is low.

    Research on optimization strategy for innovation and entrepreneurship environment of emergency industry
    WEI Xiaoshuai, WANG Hongxia, WANG Jun, SHANG Ting
    2022, 32(7):  188-194.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.1834
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    In order to nurture a better environment for innovation and entrepreneurship in emergency industry in China, current development status of the industry was analyzed, and based on Gnyawall & Fogel five dimension model, five dimensions, including policy supports, financial supports, non-financial supports, skill supports and social supports, were put forward. Then, the influencing factors on innovation and entrepreneurship environment of emergency industry were analyzed from these five aspects, and corresponding optimization strategies were proposed. The results show that the thinking of "mass entrepreneurship and innovation" shall be applied in order to improve environment for innovation and entrepreneurship in emergency industry in China. Meanwhile it's necessary to improve and innovate industrial policy system, and to innovate related investment and financing channels. Measures should also be taken to promote construction of emergency industrial park from a strategic perspective, to innovate education and training system of emergency personnel, and enhance social and international cooperation.

    Occupational health
    Research on influence of pipeline structure of mine ventilation clothing on interior microclimate
    YOU Bo, MAO Cong, SHI Shiliang, LIU Heqing, LU Yi, WU Guoshan
    2022, 32(7):  195-204.  doi:10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2022.07.2244
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    In order to explore the local cooling effect of mine ventilation clothes on the human body and reveal the characteristics of changes in human skin temperature and climate within the micro-system composed of ventilation clothes, interior space and the human body, the influence mechanism of different ventilation clothes pipeline structure, ventilation volume and human labor intensity on human skin temperature and microclimate was analyzed by simulation. The results show that the cooling effect of ventilation clothing with the transverse pipeline structure is better than that of the longitudinal one. With increasing air volume, the cooling amplitude of transverse ventilation clothing on human skin temperature is better than that of longitudinal ventilation clothing. The distribution characteristics of wind speed in the micro-system of the two kinds of ventilation suits are different. The front and back sides of the transverse type are quite different, and the longitudinal type is more uniform. The influence of air volume on the temperature in the longitudinal ventilation system is more obvious than that in the transverse ventilation system. However, the average temperature in the transverse ventilation system is lower.