中国安全科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (11): 162-167.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn1003-3033.2018.11.026

• 公共安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

地铁拥挤踩踏事故脆弱性区域智能化预警研究

王起全 副教授   

  1. 中国劳动关系学院 安全工程系,北京 100048
  • 收稿日期:2018-08-20 修回日期:2018-10-15 发布日期:2020-11-25
  • 作者简介:王起全 (1976—),男,山东齐河人,安全工程专业博士,副教授,目前主要从事安全生产培训、安全生产标准、公共安全课题研究、应急管理、安全生产咨询、安全评价等相关工作。E-mail:wqq_100@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC0804900);安全生产重特大事故防治关键技术科技项目(beijing-0005-2018AQ)。

Research on intelligent early-warning of crowded stampede accidents vulnerable areas in subway

WANG Qiquan   

  1. Department of Safety Engineering, China University of Labor Relations, Beijing 100048, China
  • Received:2018-08-20 Revised:2018-10-15 Published:2020-11-25

摘要: 为有效预防地铁拥挤踩踏事故,通过分析近年来国内地铁拥挤踩踏事故,确定事故易发的脆弱性区域,揭示地铁拥挤踩踏事故孕育、发生、扩大的演化发展阶段,深入分析人群波浪效应、信息传递失真、空间阻碍导致的人流对冲等特征,探析预防控制地铁拥挤踩踏事故的关键阶段。基于预警系统工作原理,按照警源警情分析、警兆识别、警报设计与排警的工作机制,构建地铁拥挤踩踏事故智能化预警系统。研究结果表明:孕育阶段是预防控制地铁拥挤踩踏事故的关键阶段;智能化预警监控系统能够明确预警等级,显示不同人群状态及密度下的风险等级,具备地铁拥挤踩踏事故预警控制能力。

关键词: 地铁, 拥挤踩踏事故, 脆弱性区域, 智能化报警, 应急疏散

Abstract: In order to effectively prevent subway crowding and stampede accidents, data on the recent subway stampede accidents were analyzed, areas vulnerable to crowding and stampede accidents were identified, and the inoculation, evolution and development stages of the stampede accident in subways were revealed. Effects of crowd wave, distortion of information transmission, and hedging caused by spatial obstruction were analyzed among others. A stage critical for preventing and controlling subway crowding and stampede accidents was identified. An intelligent warning system was developed for subway crowded trampling accidents. The research results show that the inoculation stage is critical for preventing and controlling the accidents, that the intelligent warning monitoring system can assess the warning level, show the risk level corresponding to a given people's status or density, and is helpful in controlling subway crowded stampede accidents.

Key words: subway, crowded stampede accident, vulnerable areas, intelligent warning system, emergency evacuation

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